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Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300542) Stock Up Recently?

Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300542) Stock Up Recently?

最近其财务状况对推动新晨科技股份有限公司(深证:300542)股票上涨有任何影响吗?
Simply Wall St ·  11/21 18:10

Brilliance Technology's (SZSE:300542) stock is up by a considerable 120% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Brilliance Technology's ROE.

新晨科技(SZSE:300542)的股票在过去三个月上涨了相当可观的120%。正如大多数人所知,基本面通常是指导市场价格长期波动的因素,因此我们决定今天查看公司的关键财务指标,以判断它们在最近的价格波动中是否发挥了任何作用。本文将重点关注新晨科技的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东应考虑的重要因素是净资产收益率或roe,因为它告诉他们投资的资本如何被有效地再投资。简单来说,它用于评估公司与其股权资本相关的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

roe可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Brilliance Technology is:

所以,基于上述公式,新晨科技的roe为:

5.9% = CN¥38m ÷ CN¥635m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

5.9% = CN¥3800万 ÷ CN¥63500万(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.06 in profit.

‘回报’是过去十二个月的利润。另一种思考方式是,对于每个1元的净资产,公司能够获得0.06元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解了roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一种指标。根据公司选择重新投资或“保留”多少利润,我们就能评估公司未来盈利的能力。一般来说,其他条件相同的情况下,具有高roe和盈利保留的公司比不具备这些属性的公司增长率更高。

Brilliance Technology's Earnings Growth And 5.9% ROE

新晨科技的盈利增长和5.9%的roe

At first glance, Brilliance Technology's ROE doesn't look very promising. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 4.6% which we definitely can't overlook. However, Brilliance Technology's five year net income decline rate was 11%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

乍一看,新晨科技的roe似乎不太乐观。尽管仔细研究表明,该公司的roe高于4.6%的行业平均水平,这一点我们绝对不能忽视。然而,新晨科技五年的净利润下降率为11%。请记住,该公司的roe本身就有点低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,盈利下降也可能是这个原因造成的。

However, when we compared Brilliance Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 2.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将新晨科技的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现虽然公司的盈利在缩减,但在同一时期内行业的盈利增长达到了2.5%。这令人相当担忧。

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SZSE:300542 Past Earnings Growth November 21st 2024
SZSE:300542过去的盈利增长 2024年11月21日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Brilliance Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是评估股票时需要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要判断的是,预期的收益增长或其缺乏是否已反映在股票价格中。通过这样做,他们可以了解股票是走向一片清澈的沃特世,还是待在泥泞的沃特世。新晨科技与其他公司相比是否被合理估值?这三项估值指标可能帮助你做出决定。

Is Brilliance Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

新晨科技是否有效利用其留存收益?

When we piece together Brilliance Technology's low three-year median payout ratio of 23% (where it is retaining 77% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

当我们整理新晨科技在过去三年期间低三年中位数分红比例为23%(它保留了77%的利润)的数据时,我们对缺乏增长感到困惑。低分红意味着公司大部分收益都被保留,因此应该会看到一些增长。但看起来可能有其他原因解释这种缺乏。例如,该业务可能正在下滑。

Moreover, Brilliance Technology has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,新晨科技已连续七年支付分红,这是一段相当长的时间,说明管理层必须意识到股东偏好稳定的分红,即使收益一直在减少。

Summary

总结

On the whole, we do feel that Brilliance Technology has some positive attributes. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体来说,我们确实认为新晨科技有一些积极的属性。 然而,尽管该公司有不错的roe和较高的利润留存,但其盈利增长数字却相当令人失望。这表明可能存在一些外部威胁影响业务,阻碍了增长。 话虽如此,查看当前分析师的预估,我们发现该公司的盈利增长率预计将有巨大改善。 这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期,还是公司的基本面? 点击这里访问我们分析师的公司预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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