These 4 Measures Indicate That Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology (SZSE:300435) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology (SZSE:300435) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation (SZSE:300435) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大卫·艾本很准确地说:'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。' 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。重要的是,中泰股份(SZSE:300435)确实负债。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还债务人,那就完全被债权人控制。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能什么都拿不到。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司不得不以较低的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东的权益。当然,许多公司利用债务来支持增长,并没有任何负面后果。当我们审查债务水平时,首先需要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology's Net Debt?
中泰股份的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology had CN¥306.9m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥1.08b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.11b in cash, leading to a CN¥805.1m net cash position.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示中泰股份在2024年9月的债务为30690万人民币,比一年前的10.8亿人民币有所下降。但另一方面,它还有11.1亿人民币的现金,导致80510万人民币的净现金头寸。
How Strong Is Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology's Balance Sheet?
杭州中泰股份的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.42b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥60.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.11b in cash and CN¥769.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥402.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
从最新的资产负债表可以看出,杭州中泰股份有CN¥14.2亿的短期负债,CN¥6070万的长期负债。从另一方面来看,它有CN¥11.1亿的现金和CN¥76980万的应收款项,这些应收款项在12个月内到期。因此,它实际上有CN¥40230万的流动资产超过总负债。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这种短期流动性表明杭州中泰股份可能能够轻松偿还其债务,因为其资产负债表远未紧张。简而言之,杭州中泰股份现金多于债务,这在很大程度上表明它能够安全地管理其债务。
On the other hand, Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology's EBIT dived 14%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
另一方面,杭州中泰股份的EBIT在过去一年中下降了14%。我们认为,如果这种表现频繁重复,可能会给股票带来困难。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的债务更多。但未来的收益,胜过一切,将决定杭州中泰股份将来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告非常有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最后,一家公司只能用流动现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。杭州中泰股份可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得关注其在息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流方面的表现,因为这不仅会影响其需要管理债务的能力,也会影响其管理债务的能力。根据最近三年的数据,杭州中泰股份的自由现金流占EBIT的40%,这低于我们的预期。这种较弱的现金转化使得处理债务变得更加困难。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology has net cash of CN¥805.1m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology .
虽然我们理解那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但请您记住,中泰股份的净现金为80510万人民币,同时流动资产比负债更多。因此,我们对中泰股份的债务使用并不担忧。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的地方。但最终,任何公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。为此,您应该注意我们发现的与中泰股份相关的1个警告信号。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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