Does Longhua Technology GroupLtd (SZSE:300263) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Longhua Technology GroupLtd (SZSE:300263) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Longhua Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300263) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
巴菲特的合作伙伴查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理陆李在谈到"最大的投资风险并不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失时,没有讳言。当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载会导致破产。我们可以看到隆华科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300263)在业务中确实使用债务。但真正的问题是这些债务是否让公司更有风险。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务对于企业来说是一个我行我素之机,直到企业遇到用新的资本或自由现金流支付债务的困扰。资本主义的核心是无情地通过银行家们对失败的企业进行“创造性破坏”,将其清算。然而,更为频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以低价发行股票,永久稀释股东权益,以恢复其资产负债表的稳定。然而,通过取代股权稀释,债务可以成为那些需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一种极为有效的工具。当我们考虑一家公司对债务的使用时,我们首先关注现金和债务的总量。
What Is Longhua Technology GroupLtd's Net Debt?
隆华科技股份有限公司的资金账户净债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Longhua Technology GroupLtd had CN¥1.67b of debt, up from CN¥1.27b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥567.2m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.10b.
正如您下面所见,在2024年9月底,隆华科技股份有限公司的债务为人民币16.7亿,比一年前的12.7亿增加。点击图像获取更多详情。另一方面,它有人民币56720万的现金,导致净债务约为人民币11亿。
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A Look At Longhua Technology GroupLtd's Liabilities
隆华科技集团有限公司的负债状况一瞥
According to the last reported balance sheet, Longhua Technology GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.85b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.33b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥567.2m and CN¥1.66b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥958.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根据最近披露的资产负债表,隆华科技集团有限公司的短期负债为18.5亿人民币,长期负债为13.3亿人民币。另一方面,其账上现金为56720万元,应收账款为16.6亿元。因此,其负债总计为95850万元,超过了其现金和短期应收账款的总和。
Given Longhua Technology GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥6.79b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
考虑到隆华科技集团有限公司的市值为67.9亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大威胁。然而,我们认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能随时间而变化。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
为了衡量公司债务相对于其收入的规模,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税收、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),并计算其利息前税利润(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。这样,我们考虑了债务的绝对金额,以及支付的利率。
Longhua Technology GroupLtd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.5 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. One way Longhua Technology GroupLtd could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 10%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Longhua Technology GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
隆华科技集团有限公司的债务与EBITDA比率为3.7,其EBIT覆盖了利息支出5.5倍。这表明虽然债务水平显著,但我们不认为它们构成问题。隆华科技集团有限公司摆脱债务的一种方式是停止借贷,但继续以约10%的增长率增长EBIT,就像去年一样。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个开始的地方。但未来的收入,更甚于任何事,将决定隆华科技集团有限公司今后维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看此免费报告,显示分析师的利润预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Longhua Technology GroupLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要现金。因此,我们始终核查EBIT中有多少被转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,隆华科技集团有限公司总体看到了大幅负面的自由现金流。虽然这可能是用于增长支出的结果,但这使得债务风险大大增加。
Our View
我们的观点
Longhua Technology GroupLtd's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to grow its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Longhua Technology GroupLtd is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Longhua Technology GroupLtd, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
隆华科技集团有限公司努力将EBIT转化为自由现金流的困难使我们对其资产负债表的实力产生了疑虑,但我们考虑的其他数据点相对弥补了这一缺陷。但从好的一面来看,其增长EBIT的能力并不差。综合考虑上述所有因素,我们认为隆华科技集团有限公司由于其债务情况而成为一项具有一定风险的投资。并非所有风险都是坏的,如果有所回报,它可以提高股价回报,但这种债务风险值得牢记。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,因此如果您对隆华科技集团有限公司感兴趣,您可能想要点击这里查看其每股收益历史的交互图。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们特别名单上的这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长记录)。这是免费的。
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