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ChinaLin Securities (SZSE:002945) Shareholders Have Earned a 13% CAGR Over the Last Three Years

ChinaLin Securities (SZSE:002945) Shareholders Have Earned a 13% CAGR Over the Last Three Years

华林证券(深交所:002945)股东在过去三年中获得了13%的年复合增长率。
Simply Wall St ·  11/22 10:16

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, ChinaLin Securities Co., Ltd (SZSE:002945) shareholders have seen the share price rise 42% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (18%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 7.1%, including dividends.

从股票市场获益的一个简单方法是买入指数基金。但是如果你选对了个股,那么收益可能会更高。例如,华林证券股份有限公司(深证:002945)的股东在三年内看到股价上涨了42%,远远超过市场的下跌(18%,不包括分红派息)。另一方面,近期的回报就没那么好了,股东的收益仅上涨了7.1%,包括分红派息。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 3 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估过去3年的潜在基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报同步变化。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

沃伦·巴菲特在他的论文《格雷厄姆-道德斯维尔的超级投资者》中描述了股票价格并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间变化的变化,我们可以了解到投资者对某家公司的态度如何随时间而变化。

Over the last three years, ChinaLin Securities failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 39% (annualized).

在过去三年里,华林证券的每股收益未能增长,下降了39%(年化)。

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.

因此,我们怀疑市场主要会根据每股收益来评估公司的价值。因此,我们认为也值得考虑其他的主要指标。

Languishing at just 0.03%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 7.9% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

分红派息仅为0.03%,我们怀疑这对股价的支撑作用不大。你可以想象长期股东对营业收入下降趋势(每年下降7.9%)的感觉。很明显,历史利润和营业收入与股价表现并不匹配。因此,你可能需要更深入调查才能掌握情况。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

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SZSE:002945 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 22nd 2024
SZSE:002945 每股收益和营业收入增长 2024年11月22日

This free interactive report on ChinaLin Securities' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查股票,这份关于华林证券资产负债表强度的免费互动报告是一个很好的开始。

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

ChinaLin Securities shareholders gained a total return of 7.1% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 4% per year over five year. This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with ChinaLin Securities (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

华林证券的股东在这一年获得了7.1%的总回报。不幸的是,这低于市场回报。 不过,值得欣慰的是,这一收益实际上超过了五年平均年回报率4%的水平。这可能表明,随着公司追求其策略,正在吸引新的投资者。 我发现,从长期来看股价作为业务表现的代理非常有趣。但要真正深入了解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该了解我们发现的华林证券的3个警告信号(包括一个让我们感到不安的信号)。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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