Chubb Limited's (NYSE:CB) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 20x and even P/E's above 36x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Chubb certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Is There Any Growth For Chubb?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Chubb's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 45%. The latest three year period has also seen a 25% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 0.6% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Chubb's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Chubb maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Chubb has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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