Investing in Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 46% Gain
Investing in Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 46% Gain
When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM) share price is up 33% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. The last year hasn't been great either, with the stock up just 4.1%.
当你长期购买和持有股票时,你肯定希望它能提供正回报。此外,您通常希望看到股价的上涨速度快于市场。对股东来说不幸的是,而百胜!品牌公司(纽约证券交易所代码:YUM)的股价在过去五年中上涨了33%,低于市场回报率。去年也不是很好,股票仅上涨了4.1%。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
现在也值得一看公司的基本面,因为这将有助于我们确定长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
沃伦·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者》中描述了股价如何并不总是能合理地反映企业的价值。研究市场情绪如何随时间推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司的股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, Yum! Brands achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 8.2% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 6% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
在股价增长的五年中,百胜!品牌实现了每年8.2%的复合每股收益(EPS)增长。每股收益的增长高于股价年均增长6%。因此,如今市场似乎对该股并不那么热情。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。
This free interactive report on Yum! Brands' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
这份关于百胜的免费互动报告!如果你想进一步调查股票,品牌的收益、收入和现金流是一个很好的起点。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Yum! Brands the TSR over the last 5 years was 46%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率包含任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值,以及任何股息,前提是股息是再投资的。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。对于 Yum,我们注意到了这一点!品牌在过去5年中的股东总回报率为46%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Yum! Brands provided a TSR of 6.2% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 8% over five years. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Yum! Brands has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.
好极了!在过去的十二个月中,品牌的股东总回报率为6.2%。但是这种回报不及市场。这可能是一个好兆头,表明该公司的长期业绩记录甚至更好,在五年内为股东提供了8%的年度股东总回报率。鉴于随着时间的推移,市场持续给予积极的欢迎,这很可能是一项值得关注的业务。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,冒险吧——好极了!品牌有 3 个警告信号(其中两个可能很严重),我们认为你应该知道。
But note: Yum! Brands may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但是请注意:好极了!品牌可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。