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Does Guangdong Vanward New Electric Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002543) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Stock Could Move In The Opposite Direction?

Does Guangdong Vanward New Electric Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002543) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Stock Could Move In The Opposite Direction?

广东万和电气股份有限公司(SZSE:002543)的基本面较弱,这意味着该股票可能朝相反方向发展吗?
Simply Wall St ·  11/22 17:10

Guangdong Vanward New Electric's (SZSE:002543) stock is up by 6.8% over the past three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak financials, as long-term fundamentals ultimately dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangdong Vanward New Electric's ROE today.

广东万和新电气(深圳证券交易所:002543)的股票在过去三个月中上涨了6.8%。但是,在本文中,我们决定关注其疲软的财务状况,因为长期基本面最终决定了市场结果。特别是,我们今天将关注广东万和新电气的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Vanward New Electric is:

因此,根据上述公式,广东万和新电气的投资回报率为:

9.8% = CN¥463m ÷ CN¥4.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

9.8% = 46300万元人民币 ÷ 47元人民币(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。另一种看法是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就能获得0.10元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Guangdong Vanward New Electric's Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE

广东万和新电气的收益增长和9.8%的投资回报率

When you first look at it, Guangdong Vanward New Electric's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.3%. Having said that, Guangdong Vanward New Electric's five year net income decline rate was 3.4%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

当你第一次看时,广东万和新电气的投资回报率看起来并不那么吸引人。然而,一项更仔细的研究表明,该公司的投资回报率与行业平均水平的9.3%相似。话虽如此,广东万和新电气的五年净收入下降率为3.4%。请记住,公司的投资回报率一开始有点低。因此,这在某种程度上解释了收益的萎缩。

So, as a next step, we compared Guangdong Vanward New Electric's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 8.1% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将广东万和新电气的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以8.1%的速度增长收益。

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SZSE:002543 Past Earnings Growth November 22nd 2024
SZSE: 002543 过去的收益增长 2024 年 11 月 22 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Guangdong Vanward New Electric fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。与其他公司相比,广东万和新电气的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Guangdong Vanward New Electric Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

广东万和新电气是否在有效使用其留存收益?

Guangdong Vanward New Electric's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 57% (or a retention ratio of 43%). With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. Our risks dashboard should have the 2 risks we have identified for Guangdong Vanward New Electric.

从其三年派息率中位数为57%(或43%的留存率)来看,广东万和新电气的收益下降并不奇怪,因为该公司将大部分利润用于支付股息。由于只有一小部分被再投资到该业务,收益增长显然会很低或根本不存在。我们的风险仪表板应包含我们为广东万和新电气确定的两种风险。

Moreover, Guangdong Vanward New Electric has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,广东万和新电气已经派发股息至少十年或更长时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Guangdong Vanward New Electric. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,在决定任何与广东万和新电气有关的投资行动之前,我们会经过深思熟虑。由于保留的利润很少,该公司一直缺乏收益增长,无论保留的利润很少,都以非常低的回报率进行再投资。既然如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师预计公司的收益增长率将得到巨大改善。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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