Does Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克斯说得很好,与其担心股价波动,不如说‘我担心的风险是永久性亏损的可能性...而我所认识的每个实用投资者也都担心这个。’当我们考虑一家公司有多风险时,我们总是喜欢查看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过量可能导致破产。像许多其他公司一样,张裕b也使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得有风险。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
负债可以帮助公司,直到它在新资本或自由现金流方面出现困难。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还负债的法律义务,股东可能一无所有。然而,一种更为常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本资本,从而永久稀释股东的利益。当然,负债的好处在于,它通常代表着便宜的资本,特别是当它取代具有高回报率再投资能力的公司的稀释时。考虑公司使用多少负债时,首先要做的是将其现金和负债放在一起看。
What Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Net Debt?
张裕b的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine had CN¥376.2m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥540.5m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.63b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.25b net cash position.
如您所见,张裕b在2024年9月的债务为37620万人民币,较去年减少了54050万人民币。但另一方面,它还有16.3亿人民币的现金,导致净现金头寸为12.5亿人民币。
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How Strong Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Balance Sheet?
张裕b的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine had liabilities of CN¥1.46b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥161.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.63b as well as receivables valued at CN¥463.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥475.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最新的资产负债表,张裕b在12个月内有负债14.6亿人民币,超过12个月的负债为16110万人民币。为了抵消这些负债,它有现金16.3亿人民币,以及12个月内到期的应收账款价值46320万人民币。因此,它的流动资产比总负债多47510万人民币。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种短期流动性表明,张裕b可能可以轻松偿还其债务,因为其资产负债表远不是紧张。简而言之,张裕b拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
It is just as well that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 35% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
张裕b的负担不重也正好,因为其EBIT在过去一年中下降了35%。收益的下降(如果趋势持续)最终可能使得即使是适度的债务也变得相当风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上最能了解债务。但未来的收益,比其他任何因素,都将判断张裕b能否维持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
最后,一家公司只能用实际现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。张裕b的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但仍然有必要看看该业务如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,张裕b实际产生的自由现金流超过了EBIT。这种强劲的现金生成像穿着蜜蜂服装的小狗一样暖人心。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine has CN¥1.25b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 124% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥500m. So we don't have any problem with Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
虽然调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,张裕b拥有12.5亿人民币的净现金和一个看起来不错的资产负债表。 最令人欣慰的是,它将124%的EBIT转化为自由现金流,带来了50000万人民币的收益。 所以我们对张裕b使用债务没有任何问题。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个开始的地方。 但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。 请注意,张裕b在我们的投资分析中出现了2个警告信号,你应当了解...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
当一切尘埃落定时,有时更容易专注于那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费查看零净债务的成长股列表。
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