More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Annil Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002875) Shares After Tumbling 31%
More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Annil Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002875) Shares After Tumbling 31%
Annil Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002875) shares have retraced a considerable 31% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 5.5% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may still consider AnnilLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 4.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How AnnilLtd Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at AnnilLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on AnnilLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For AnnilLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as AnnilLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 48% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that AnnilLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From AnnilLtd's P/S?
Even after such a strong price drop, AnnilLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that AnnilLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for AnnilLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AnnilLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.