We Think You Can Look Beyond Man Shing Global Holdings' (HKG:8309) Lackluster Earnings
We Think You Can Look Beyond Man Shing Global Holdings' (HKG:8309) Lackluster Earnings
The market for Man Shing Global Holdings Limited's (HKG:8309) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.
Man Shing Global Holdings Limited(HKG:8309)股票的市场在最近发布业绩疲弱后并没有太多波动。我们的分析表明,尽管利润较低,但业务基础仍然坚实。

Zooming In On Man Shing Global Holdings' Earnings
聚焦Man Shing Global Holdings的盈利能力
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
许多投资者没有听说过现金流的权责发生制比率,但实际上它是一个衡量公司在一定时期内利润受自由现金流(FCF)支持程度的有用指标。该权责发生制比率将给定期间的自由现金流从利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在此期间的平均营运资产。该比率告诉我们公司利润中有多少是不受自由现金流支持的。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率则是消极的。这并不意味着我们应该担心正的应计比率,但值得注意的是应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往导致较低的利润或利润增长。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Man Shing Global Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.55. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$53m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$14.4m. Man Shing Global Holdings did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.
在2024年9月的十二个月内,Man Shing Global Holdings的准备金比率为-0.55。这意味着其现金转换非常好,并且在过去一年里,其盈利实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。换句话说,它在这段时间内产生了5300万港币的自由现金流,远远超过其1440万港币的报告利润。Man Shing Global Holdings的自由现金流确实年同比下降,这并非理想,就像一集没有威利园丁的Simpson剧集。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Man Shing Global Holdings.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。单击此处可查看我们对Man Shing Global Holdings资产负债表的分析。
Our Take On Man Shing Global Holdings' Profit Performance
我们对万盛全球控股的利润表现持什么看法
As we discussed above, Man Shing Global Holdings' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Man Shing Global Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 33% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Man Shing Global Holdings.
正如我们上面所讨论的,万盛全球控股的应计比率表明其将利润转化为自由现金流的能力强劲,这对公司是一大利好。由于这一点,我们认为万盛全球控股的潜在盈利能力与其法定利润一样好,甚至可能更好!而且,其每股收益在过去三年中以33%的年增长率增长。当然,在分析其收益时,我们只是挠过了表面;人们也可以考虑毛利率、预测增长和投资回报率等其他因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们充分了解风险,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,我们发现了1个警告信号,您应该仔细查看以更全面地了解万盛全球控股的情况。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Man Shing Global Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
本注只关注了揭示万盛全球控股利润性质的一个因素。但如果您能够集中注意力在细枝末节上,您将发现更多。有人认为股本回报率高是一个高质量企业的良好迹象。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这些具有高股本回报率的公司的免费收藏,或者拥有重要内部持股的股票名单对您有所帮助。
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