Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) A Risky Investment?
Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000029) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
有人说,与债务相比,波动性是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特 famously 说过:‘波动性远非与风险同义。’所以聪明的钱知道,债务——通常与破产相关联——是在评估公司风险时一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,深圳特区房地产及物业(集团)有限公司(SZSE:000029)也使用了债务。但是股东应担心它的债务使用吗?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务帮助一家企业,直到企业难以偿还,要么通过新资本,要么通过自由现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制企业。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦的)情景是企业不得不以低价筹集新股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其当它取代一家公司中具有高回报率再投资能力的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,首先要看现金和债务总额。
How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Carry?
深圳特区房地产及物业(集团)的债务有多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had debt of CN¥117.0m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥243.3m over a year. But it also has CN¥1.52b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.40b net cash.
下面的图像可以点击以获取更多细节,显示深圳特区房地产及物业(集团)在 2024 年 9 月底的债务为 11700万人民币,比一年前的 24330万人民币减少。但它还有 15.2亿人民币的现金可以抵消,这意味着它净现金为 14亿人民币。
How Strong Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s Balance Sheet?
深圳经济特区房地产及物业(集团)的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had liabilities of CN¥2.61b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥65.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.52b as well as receivables valued at CN¥135.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.02b.
仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到深圳经济特区房地产及物业(集团)在12个月内到期的负债为26.1亿人民币,以及超过12个月到期的负债为6530万人民币。抵消这些义务,它有15.2亿人民币的现金以及在12个月内到期的应收款为13570万人民币。因此,它的负债超过了现金和(短期)应收款的总和10.2亿人民币。
Given Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) has a market capitalization of CN¥13.9b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
鉴于深圳经济特区房地产及物业(集团)的市值为139亿人民币,很难相信这些负债构成了多大的威胁。话虽如此,显然我们应该继续关注其资产负债表,以免情况变得更糟。尽管其负债显著,但深圳经济特区房地产及物业(集团)拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有过重的债务负担!毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的内容最多。但你不能将债务孤立地看待;因为深圳经济特区房地产及物业(集团)需要收益来偿还这些债务。因此,如果你想了解更多关于其收益的信息,查看这张其长期收益趋势的图表可能是值得的。
In the last year Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 17%, to CN¥385m. We would much prefer see growth.
在过去一年中,深圳经济特区房地产及物业(集团)在利息和税前有亏损,实际上其营业收入减少了17%,降至38500万人民币。我们更倾向于看到增长。
So How Risky Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)?
那么深圳经济特区房地产及物业(集团)有多大的风险呢?
Although Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥970m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) that you should be aware of before investing here.
尽管深圳经济特区房地产及物业(集团)在过去的12个月内有利息和税前(EBIT)亏损,但它产生了97000万人民币的积极自由现金流。因此,尽管它正在亏损,但考虑到净现金,它似乎没有过多的短期资产负债表风险。由于营业收入增长乏力,我们真的需要看到一些积极的EBIT,才能对该业务产生更多的热情。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但最终,每个公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现深圳经济特区房地产及物业(集团)存在1个警告信号,在你投资之前应该了解。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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