Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Orient Overseas (International) Limited (HKG:316)?
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Orient Overseas (International) Limited (HKG:316)?
Orient Overseas (International) Limited (HKG:316), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SEHK. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Orient Overseas (International)'s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
东方海外(国际)有限公司(HKG: 316)并不是目前最大的公司,但在过去的几个月中,它在香港交易所的股价上涨了两位数以上。尽管对股东来说是个好消息,但该公司的交易量在过去一年中大幅上涨。由于许多分析师都在报道中盘股,我们可能预计,任何对价格敏感的公告都已计入该股的股价。但是,该股票还能以相对便宜的价格交易吗?今天,我们将分析东方海外(国际)前景和估值的最新数据,看看机会是否仍然存在。
What Is Orient Overseas (International) Worth?
东方海外(国际)的价值是多少?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. We find that Orient Overseas (International)'s ratio of 8.35x is trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 8.55x, which means if you buy Orient Overseas (International) today, you'd be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe Orient Overseas (International) should be trading in this range, then there isn't much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Orient Overseas (International)'s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
根据我们的多重定价模型,我们将公司的市盈率与行业平均水平进行比较,目前的股价似乎是明智的。在这种情况下,鉴于没有足够的信息来可靠地预测股票的现金流,我们使用了市盈率(PE)。我们发现,东方海外(国际)8.35倍的交易比率略低于其行业同行8.55倍的比率,这意味着如果你今天买入东方海外(国际),你将为此支付合理的价格。而且,如果你认为东方海外(国际)应该在这个区间内交易,那么从长远来看,股价的增长空间不大超过其他行业同行的水平。那么,未来还有机会低价买入吗?鉴于东方海外(国际)的份额相当不稳定(即其价格相对于其他市场的价格变动被放大),这可能意味着价格可能会下跌,从而使我们有机会在以后买入。这是基于其高贝塔值,这是衡量股价波动的良好指标。
What kind of growth will Orient Overseas (International) generate?
东方海外(国际)将带来什么样的增长?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 36% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Orient Overseas (International). It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
寻求投资组合增长的投资者可能需要在购买公司股票之前考虑公司的前景。以低廉的价格收购一家前景看好的优秀公司永远是一项不错的投资,因此,让我们也来看看公司的未来预期。预计未来几年利润将增长36%,东方海外(国际)的前景似乎一片光明。看来该股的现金流即将增加,这应该会促进更高的股票估值。
What This Means For You
这对你意味着什么
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 316's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 316? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
你是股东吗?看来市场已经对316的乐观前景进行了定价,股票的交易价格约为行业价格倍数。但是,我们今天还没有考虑其他重要因素,例如公司的财务实力。自从你上次查看316以来,这些因素是否发生了变化?如果价格波动低于行业市盈率,你是否有足够的信心买入?
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 316, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for 316, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
你是潜在的投资者吗?如果你一直在关注316,那么现在可能不是最有利的买入时机,因为它的交易价格约为行业价格倍数。但是,对316的乐观预测令人鼓舞,这意味着值得进一步研究其他因素,例如资产负债表的强度,以利用下一次价格下跌的机会。
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Orient Overseas (International) (including 2 which are concerning).
考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。为此,你应该了解我们在东方海外(国际)发现的4个警告信号(包括2个令人担忧的信号)。
If you are no longer interested in Orient Overseas (International), you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您不再对东方海外(国际)感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们列出的其他50多只具有高增长潜力的股票清单。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。