Wondershare Technology Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300624) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Wondershare Technology Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300624) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Most readers would already be aware that Wondershare Technology Group's (SZSE:300624) stock increased significantly by 49% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Wondershare Technology Group's ROE in this article.
大多数读者已经意识到,万兴科技集团(深圳证券交易所代码:300624)的股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了49%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究万兴科技集团的投资回报率。
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算股本回报率?
The formula for ROE is:
ROE 的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Wondershare Technology Group is:
因此,根据上述公式,万兴科技集团的投资回报率为:
1.9% = CN¥25m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
1.9% = 2500万元人民币 ÷ 13元人民币(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.02 in profit.
“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。另一种思考方式是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,该公司就能获得0.02元人民币的利润。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。
Wondershare Technology Group's Earnings Growth And 1.9% ROE
万兴科技集团的收益增长和1.9%的投资回报率
It is hard to argue that Wondershare Technology Group's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 4.5%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 16% seen by Wondershare Technology Group was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
很难说万兴科技集团的投资回报率本身就非常好。不仅如此,即使与4.5%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。因此,说Wondershare科技集团五年来净收入下降16%可能是其投资回报率下降的结果,这可能没有错。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如,该公司的派息率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。
So, as a next step, we compared Wondershare Technology Group's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 1.1% over the last few years.
因此,下一步,我们将Wondershare Technology Group的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以1.1%的速度增长收益。
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Wondershare Technology Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查Wondershare科技集团相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。
Is Wondershare Technology Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
万兴科技集团是否在有效利用其利润?
Wondershare Technology Group's low three-year median payout ratio of 23% (or a retention ratio of 77%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.
Wondershare Technology Group在过去三年中低的三年派息率中位数为23%(或77%的留存率),这应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益来推动增长,但该公司的收益实际上已经萎缩。当公司保留大部分收益时,通常不应出现这种情况。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。
Additionally, Wondershare Technology Group has paid dividends over a period of seven years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 12% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 8.6%, over the same period.
此外,Wondershare Technology Group已在七年内派发了股息,这意味着无论收益如何萎缩,该公司的管理层都相当专注于维持股息支付。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年降至12%。因此,派息率的预期下降解释了该公司同期的投资回报率预计将增长至8.6%。
Summary
摘要
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Wondershare Technology Group. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
总的来说,我们对万兴科技集团的看法喜忧参半。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益增长率预计将出现巨大改善。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。
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