Here's Why Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (HKG:874) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李路(查理·芒格支持的)曾说过:"最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。" 所以,当你考虑任何一只股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到,白云山(HKG:874)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,股东应该对其债务的使用感到担忧吗?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般来说,只有当企业不能轻易偿还其债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是利用自身的现金流。最终,如果公司无法执行其法律义务偿还债务,股东可能会一无所获。虽然这不太常见,但我们经常看到负债的公司永久地稀释股东的权益,因为贷款人会强制以危机价格提高他们的资本。当然,债务对于企业来说也是很重要的工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业来说。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的就是查看其现金和债务的总体情况。
What Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's Net Debt?
白云山的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had debt of CN¥13.5b, up from CN¥11.6b in one year. But it also has CN¥17.5b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥3.98b net cash.
下图可以点击以获取更多详细信息,显示到2024年9月,白云山的债务为135亿人民币,相较于一年前的116亿人民币有所上升。但它也有175亿人民币的现金来抵消这部分债务,这意味着它的净现金为39.8亿人民币。
A Look At Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' Liabilities
审视白云山药品控股的负债情况
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had liabilities of CN¥36.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.94b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥17.5b as well as receivables valued at CN¥22.0b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.72b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,白云山药品控股的流动负债为363亿人民币,非流动负债为49.4亿人民币。抵消这些义务,该公司拥有现金175亿人民币以及12个月内到期的应收款220亿人民币。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收款的总和多出17.2亿人民币。
Since publicly traded Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings shares are worth a total of CN¥43.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
由于上市的白云山药品控股股票总值为431亿人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不会构成重大威胁。然而,我们认为关注其资产负债表的实力是值得的,因为这可能会随着时间的推移而变化。尽管其负债显著,白云山药品控股仍拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说其负债负担并不沉重!
On the other hand, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's EBIT dived 17%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
另一方面,白云山药品控股的EBIT在过去一年度下降了17%。如果这种盈利下降的趋势持续下去,公司可能会陷入困境。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但未来的盈利比其他任何因素都更能判断白云山药品控股维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings recorded free cash flow of 46% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬的现金。虽然白云山药品控股在其资产负债表上有净现金,但查看其将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力仍然很重要,以帮助我们理解该公司是如何快速建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的。查看最近三年,白云山药品控股的自由现金流占其EBIT的46%,这低于我们的预期。这种现金转化能力的弱化使得处理债务变得更加困难。
Summing Up
总之
We could understand if investors are concerned about Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥3.98b. So we don't have any problem with Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
我们可以理解如果投资者对白云山的负债感到担忧,但令人放心的是它拥有净现金38.98亿人民币。 所以我们对白云山使用债务没有任何问题。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个好的起点。 然而,并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表内 - 远非如此。 这些风险可能很难发现。 每家公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现了 2 个白云山的警告信号 (其中 1 个让人有些担忧!)你应该知道。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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