Dream Finders Homes (NYSE:DFH) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Dream Finders Homes (NYSE:DFH) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (NYSE:DFH) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录直言不讳地表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。” 因此,在考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,梦找者家园公司(纽交所:DFH)在其资产负债表上确实有债务。但股东应该担心其债务的使用吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但是如果企业无力偿还债权人,那么它就存在于债权人的掌控之下。资本主义的组成部分就是“创造性破坏”过程,其中失败的企业将被银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见的情况是公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东权益,以恢复其资产负债表的稳定。当然,很多公司使用债务为了增长,没有任何负面的后果。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,首先要看现金和债务的总体情况。
What Is Dream Finders Homes's Debt?
梦找者家园的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Dream Finders Homes had US$1.46b of debt, an increase on US$849.1m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$204.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.25b.
你可以点击下面的图标查看历史数据,但数据显示截至2024年9月,梦找者家园拥有14.6亿美金的债务,较84910万美金增长了一年。另一方面,它拥有20490万美金的现金,因此净债务约为12.5亿美金。
How Healthy Is Dream Finders Homes' Balance Sheet?
梦找者房屋的资产负债表健康吗?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dream Finders Homes had liabilities of US$355.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.68b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$204.9m and US$30.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.80b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看到,梦找者房屋的流动负债为35560万美元,流动负债为16.8亿美元。另一方面,它拥有20490万美元的现金和3020万美元的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额达18亿美元,超过了其现金和短期应收账款的总和。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$2.86b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Dream Finders Homes' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
与其28.6亿美元的市值相比,这一赤字相当可观,因此确实表明股东应关注梦找者房屋的债务使用情况。如果其贷方要求它增强资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重的摊薄。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
为了衡量公司债务相对于其收入的规模,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税收、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),并计算其利息前税利润(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。这样,我们考虑了债务的绝对金额,以及支付的利率。
Dream Finders Homes's net debt is 3.0 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Notably Dream Finders Homes's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dream Finders Homes's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
梦找者房屋的净债务是其EBITDA的3.0倍,这是一个显著但仍然合理的杠杆水平。但其EBIT大约是0.1万倍的利息费用,暗示公司实际上并没有因此而支付高昂的维持债务成本。即使低成本证明不可持续,这依然是一个好兆头。值得注意的是,梦找者房屋的EBIT在过去一年中基本平稳。理想情况下,它可以通过启动盈利增长来减少其债务负担。当分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但事实上,未来的盈利将比其他任何因素都更能判断梦找者房屋未来是否能维持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费的报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Dream Finders Homes recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
但我们的最终考虑同样重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要切实的现金。因此,我们显然需要查看EBIT是否能够带来相应的自由现金流。在过去三年中,梦找者房屋的自由现金流总计为负。对那些自由现金流不可靠的公司而言,债务风险更大,因此股东应该希望过去的支出能在未来产生自由现金流。
Our View
我们的观点
Dream Finders Homes's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Dream Finders Homes is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Dream Finders Homes (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Dream Finders Homes 将EBIT转换为自由现金流及其总负债水平确实让我们觉得担忧。 但好消息是,它似乎能够轻松用EBIT覆盖其利息支出。 当我们考虑所有讨论过的因素时,我们认为 Dream Finders Homes 在债务使用上存在一定风险。因此,虽然这种杠杆确实提高了股本收益率,但我们不希望其进一步增加。 在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现了 3 个 Dream Finders Homes 的警告信号(2 个可能是严重的!),在这里投资之前你应该了解这些风险。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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