Is PriceSmart (NASDAQ:PSMT) A Risky Investment?
Is PriceSmart (NASDAQ:PSMT) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, PriceSmart, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSMT) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,PriceSmart, Inc.(纳斯达克股票代码:PSMT)确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来什么风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。
What Is PriceSmart's Debt?
什么是PriceSmart的债务?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that PriceSmart had debt of US$141.6m at the end of August 2024, a reduction from US$151.7m over a year. However, it does have US$230.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$88.4m.
您可以点击下图以获取更多详细信息,该图片显示,截至2024年8月底,PriceSmart的债务为1.416亿美元,较上一年的1.517亿美元有所减少。但是,它确实有2.30亿美元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为8,840万美元。
How Healthy Is PriceSmart's Balance Sheet?
PriceSmart 的资产负债表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that PriceSmart had liabilities of US$680.1m due within a year, and liabilities of US$219.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$230.0m in cash and US$42.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$627.5m.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,PriceSmart的负债为6.801亿美元,之后到期的负债为2.196亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有2.30亿美元的现金和4,230万美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额6.275亿美元。
PriceSmart has a market capitalization of US$2.65b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, PriceSmart also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
PriceSmart的市值为26.5亿美元,因此,如果需要,它很可能会筹集资金以改善其资产负债表。但是,我们绝对希望留意其债务带来过大风险的迹象。尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但PriceSmart的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。
Fortunately, PriceSmart grew its EBIT by 8.5% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PriceSmart's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
幸运的是,PriceSmart在去年将其息税前利润增长了8.5%,这使得债务负担看起来更易于管理。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定PriceSmart未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While PriceSmart has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, PriceSmart's free cash flow amounted to 26% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。尽管PriceSmart的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息和税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去三年中,PriceSmart的自由现金流占其息税前利润的26%,低于我们的预期。在偿还债务方面,这并不好。
Summing Up
总结
While PriceSmart does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$88.4m. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 8.5% in the last twelve months. So we don't have any problem with PriceSmart's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for PriceSmart you should know about.
尽管PriceSmart的负债确实超过了流动资产,但其净现金也为8,840万美元。最重要的是,它在过去十二个月中将其息税前利润增长了8.5%。因此,我们对PriceSmart使用债务没有任何问题。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了一个你应该知道的PriceSmart警告信号。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。