Despite an already strong run, OMH SCIENCE Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:300486) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 8.2% isn't as attractive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that OMH SCIENCE Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Machinery industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does OMH SCIENCE Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that OMH SCIENCE Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on OMH SCIENCE Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is OMH SCIENCE Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like OMH SCIENCE Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 10%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 33% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that OMH SCIENCE Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On OMH SCIENCE Group's P/S
OMH SCIENCE Group's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We find it unexpected that OMH SCIENCE Group trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with OMH SCIENCE Group (including 1 which can't be ignored).
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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