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Investors in CK Hutchison Holdings (HKG:1) Have Unfortunately Lost 27% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in CK Hutchison Holdings (HKG:1) Have Unfortunately Lost 27% Over the Last Five Years

长江和记实业(香港:1)的投资者在过去五年中不幸损失了27%
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/24 08:37

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (HKG:1) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 44% over a half decade.

为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超过市场指数基金的回报。但是,几乎每个投资者都肯定会有表现过硬和表现不佳的股票。因此,我们不会责怪Ck Hutchison Holdings Limited(HKG:1)的长期股东怀疑他们的持股决定,该股在五年内下跌了44%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Looking back five years, both CK Hutchison Holdings' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 10% per year. This change in EPS is remarkably close to the 11% average annual decrease in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

回顾五年,Ck Hutchison Holdings的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者每年下降10%。每股收益的变化非常接近股价平均年下降11%。这表明,在那段时间内,公司周围的市场情绪没有太大变化。相反,股价大致追踪了每股收益的增长。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何随着时间的推移而发生的变化(点击图片发现确切的数值)。

big
SEHK:1 Earnings Per Share Growth November 24th 2024
香港交易所:2024年11月24日每股收益增长

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of CK Hutchison Holdings, it has a TSR of -27% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。就长江和记控股而言,其过去5年的股东回报率为-27%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

CK Hutchison Holdings shareholders gained a total return of 5.2% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 5% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with CK Hutchison Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Ck Hutchison Holdings的股东在年内获得了5.2%的总回报。不幸的是,这没有达到市场回报率。好的一面是,这仍然是一个收益,而且肯定比五年来每年遭受的约5%的损失要好。因此,这可能表明该企业已经扭转了命运。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向Ck Hutchison Holdings发现了一个警告信号,我们知道它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一项不错的投资。因此,看看这份我们预计收益将增长的免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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