Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology (SZSE:002962) Shareholders Notch a 14% CAGR Over 3 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology (SZSE:002962) Shareholders Notch a 14% CAGR Over 3 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, the Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002962) share price is up 41% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 20% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 29% in the last year, including dividends.
通过购买指数基金,您可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但如果您以有吸引力的价格购买优质企业,您的投资组合回报可能超过平均市场回报。例如,湖北五方光电科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002962)的股价在过去三年中上涨了41%,明显优于市场下跌约20%(不包括分红)。然而,最近的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,该股票在过去一年中仅回报了29%,包括分红。
Since it's been a strong week for Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由于湖北五方光电科技股东有一个强劲的一周,让我们来看一下更长期基本面的趋势。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
尽管一些人继续教授有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,并且投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价的变化情况,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间变化而变化。
During the three years of share price growth, Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 5.1% per year.
在股价增长的三年期间,湖北五方光电科技实际上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年下降5.1%。
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.
因此,我们怀疑市场对公司价值的主要评价标准不是EPS。鉴于这种情况,看一下其他指标也是有意义的。
The modest 1.1% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It may well be that Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology revenue growth rate of 6.1% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth, and maybe shareholder's faith in better days ahead will be rewarded.
1.1%的谦逊股息率不太可能支撑股价。可能是五方光电三年6.1%的营业收入增长率说服了股东相信光明的未来。在这种情况下,公司可能在牺牲当前每股收益以推动增长,也许股东对未来更好的日子的信心将得到回报。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241124/0-8691000a701479a609d178004f94ee08-0-393197a911bb13b70a909bada1feb615.png/big)
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
资产负债表实力非常重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能非常值得。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology's TSR for the last 3 years was 49%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
投资者除了衡量股价回报外,还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的股息都已再投资)以及任何折现资本募集和拆股的计算价值。因此,对于那些支付丰厚分红的公司,TSR通常比股价回报高得多。事实上,五方光电过去3年的TSR为49%,超过了先前提到的股价回报。公司支付的股息因此提振了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
We're pleased to report that Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 29% over one year. That's including the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 4% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
我们很高兴地报告,五方光电科技股东在一年内获得了总股东回报率为29%。这已经包括了分红派息。特别值得注意的是,过去五年年化总股东回报率每年亏损4%,与最近的股价表现相比非常不利。这让我们有些担忧,但企业可能已经扭转了命运。我发现长期观察股价作为业绩代理非常有趣。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了五方光电科技的2个警示信号(其中1个值得关注!),您在进行投资前应该意识到这一点。
Of course Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,五方光电科技可能并不是最佳的股票选择。因此,您可能希望查看这些免费的成长股收藏。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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