The Suzhou Kematek, Inc. (SZSE:301611) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.
Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.1x, you may still consider Suzhou Kematek as a stock to avoid entirely with its 34.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Suzhou Kematek's Recent Performance Look Like?
Suzhou Kematek certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Suzhou Kematek?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Suzhou Kematek's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 56% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 116% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 36% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 24%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Suzhou Kematek is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What Does Suzhou Kematek's P/S Mean For Investors?
Suzhou Kematek's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Suzhou Kematek maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Machinery industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Suzhou Kematek you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Suzhou Kematek, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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