Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 23% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study Ciena's ROE in this article.
Ciena(纽交所:CIEN)股票在股市上表现出色,过去三个月上涨了23%。然而,我们担心公司不稳定的财务状况是否会对目前的股价动力产生不利影响。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究Ciena的ROE。
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
股本回报率或roe是一项关键指标,用于评估公司管理层使用公司资本的效率。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资转化为利润的成功。
How Is ROE Calculated?
净资产收益率怎么计算?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
roe可以通过以下公式计算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ciena is:
所以,根据上述公式,Ciena的roe为:
4.8% = US$138m ÷ US$2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to July 2024).
4.8% = 13800万美元 ÷ 29亿美元(基于截至2024年7月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.05 in profit.
“回报”是过去12个月的利润。另一种思考方式是,对于每一美元的资产净值,公司能够获得0.05美元的利润。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
roe与盈利增长有何关系?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前为止,我们已经学到 ROE(净资产收益率)可以衡量公司盈利的效率。具体取决于公司再投资或“保留”多少这些利润,以及其有效程度,我们便能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他条件相同,ROE和利润保留率都较高的公司通常比不具备这些特征的公司增长率更高。
Ciena's Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE
ciena的收益增长和4.8%的roe
When you first look at it, Ciena's ROE doesn't look that attractive. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 18% either. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 11% seen by Ciena over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
当你第一次看到它时,ciena的roe并不那么吸引人。进一步快速研究显示,该公司的roe与18%的行业平均水平也无法相提并论。考虑到情况,过去五年ciena净利润下降11%,这并不令人意外。我们认为还可能有其他影响公司盈利前景的因素。例如,公司的分红比率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。
That being said, we compared Ciena's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 8.3% in the same 5-year period.
话虽如此,我们将ciena的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现虽然该公司收入下降,但相同五年期间行业的收入增长率达到了8.3%时,我们感到担忧。
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The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is CIEN worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CIEN is currently mispriced by the market.
为了给公司贴上价值,很大程度上取决于其盈利增长。投资者需要判断的是,预期的盈利增长,或者缺乏盈利增长,是否已经反映在股价中。这样做将帮助他们判断股票的未来是看好还是堪忧。CIEN今天价值多少?我们免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图可以帮助您判断CIEN当前是否被市场错定。
Is Ciena Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
Ciena是否高效利用其利润?
Ciena doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
Ciena不支付任何常规的股息,这意味着可能所有利润都被再投资到业务中,这并不能解释为什么公司的盈利在保留所有利润的情况下有所减少。看起来可能有其他原因来解释这种情况的不足。比如,业务可能正在下降。
Conclusion
结论
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Ciena. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
总的来说,我们对Ciena持有两极情感。虽然该公司有较高的盈利留存率,但低的回报率可能在阻碍其盈利增长。话虽如此,我们研究了最新的分析师预测发现,尽管公司过去盈利有所缩水,分析师预期其未来盈利将增长。想了解更多关于该公司最新分析师预测的信息,请查看该公司的分析师预测可视化。
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