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Has Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd.'s (SZSE:002001) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Has Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd.'s (SZSE:002001) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

新和成公司(深交所代码:002001)令人印象深刻的股票表现与其基本面有关系吗?
Simply Wall St ·  11/25 08:37

Zhejiang NHU's (SZSE:002001) stock is up by a considerable 12% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Zhejiang NHU's ROE.

新和成(SZSE:002001)的股票在过去三个月上涨了相当可观的12%。我们想知道公司的财务状况在这一价格变化中扮演了什么角色,因为公司的长期基本面通常决定市场结果。在本文中,我们决定关注新和成的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股东必须考虑股本回报率或ROE,因为它告诉他们公司如何有效地重新投资他们的资本。 简而言之,ROE显示每美元股东投资所产生的利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算净资产收益率?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang NHU is:

根据上述公式,新和成的roe为:

17% = CN¥4.6b ÷ CN¥28b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

17% = CN¥46亿 ÷ CN¥280亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.17 in profit.

“回报率”是年利润,可以这样理解:对于每1元股东资本,公司实现了0.17元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解了roe衡量公司利润产生效率的程度。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长而重新投资或“保留”的利润数量,然后了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,而与不一定具备这些特征的公司相比,这种增长率的相对性就越高。

Zhejiang NHU's Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

新和成的盈利增长和17%的roe

At first glance, Zhejiang NHU seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 6.2%. Despite this, Zhejiang NHU's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 3.5%. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

乍一看,新和成似乎拥有不错的roe。此外,该公司的roe与行业平均水平6.2%相比相当不错。尽管如此,新和成的五年净利润增长率仅为3.5%,相当低。这对于一家拥有如此高回报率的公司来说有些意外。我们认为,在回报率较高的情况下,低增长可能是由于某些情况造成的,例如低收益留存或资本配置不当。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Zhejiang NHU's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 4.9% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,在与行业净利润增长进行比较时,我们发现新和成报告的增长率低于过去几年行业增长4.9%,这并不是我们希望看到的。

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SZSE:002001 Past Earnings Growth November 25th 2024
SZSE:002001 过去的盈利增长 2024年11月25日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 002001? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者应该尝试判断预期的盈利增长或下降,无论是哪种情况,是否已经被市场定价。这将有助于他们判断股票的未来是光明还是黯淡。市场是否已经考虑了002001的未来前景?您可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is Zhejiang NHU Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

新和成是否有效地再投资其利润?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 44% (implying that the company retains the remaining 56% of its income), Zhejiang NHU's earnings growth was quite low. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管新和成三年的中位派息率为44%(这意味着公司保留了56%的收入),但其盈利增长却相当低。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,公司业务可能正在恶化。

Moreover, Zhejiang NHU has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 49%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 17%.

此外,新和成已经连续十年或更长时间支付分红,表明管理层可能认为股东更喜欢分红而非盈利增长。我们最新的分析师数据显示,未来三年该公司的派息率预计约为49%。因此,该公司的未来roe也不预计会有太大改变,分析师预测的roe为17%。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Zhejiang NHU certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体来说,我们认为新和成确实有一些积极因素值得考虑。但是,考虑到高roe和高利润留存,我们本预期公司能够实现强劲的收益增长,但事实并非如此。这表明可能存在某种外部威胁影响业务,阻碍其发展。也就是说,最新的行业分析师预测显示,公司收益预计将加速增长。要了解更多关于该公司最新分析师的预测,请查看这份公司分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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