Here's Why Qunabox Group (HKG:917) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Qunabox Group (HKG:917) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Qunabox Group Limited (HKG:917) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
有人说波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过:‘波动与风险远非同义词。’ 所以看起来聪明的钱明白,债务——通常与破产有关——在评估一家公司的风险时是一个非常重要的因素。 我们注意到趣致集团(临时代码)(HKG:917)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。 但股东应该担心其债务的使用吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般来说,只有在公司无法轻松偿还负债时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是通过自己的现金流。 资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,即失败的企业被其银行家无情清算。 尽管这不太常见,但我们经常看到负债企业由于贷款人迫使它们以破产价格筹集资本而永久性地稀释股东权益。 当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业。 当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Qunabox Group's Debt?
趣致集团的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Qunabox Group had debt of CN¥342.6m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.35b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥998.7m in cash, leading to a CN¥656.1m net cash position.
下方的图像,你可以点击以获取更详细的内容,显示趣致集团在2024年6月底的债务为34260万人民币,相较于一年前的13.5亿人民币有所减少。 但是另一方面,它也有99870万人民币的现金,导致其净现金头寸为65610万人民币。
How Strong Is Qunabox Group's Balance Sheet?
趣致集团的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Qunabox Group had liabilities of CN¥428.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥15.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥998.7m as well as receivables valued at CN¥506.3m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.06b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
从最新的资产负债表上我们可以看到,趣致集团有到期负债为42820万人民币,且有1540万人民币的负债在一年以外到期。抵消这些义务后,它有现金99870万人民币以及12个月内到期的应收账款50630万人民币。因此,它的流动资产实际比总负债多10.6亿人民币。
This surplus suggests that Qunabox Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Qunabox Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这一盈余表明趣致集团的资产负债表相对稳健,并且很可能能够轻松消除其债务。简单来说,趣致集团拥有的现金超过债务,无疑是一个良好的迹象,表明它能够安全地管理其债务。
On top of that, Qunabox Group grew its EBIT by 52% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Qunabox Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
此外,趣致集团在过去12个月内其息税前利润(EBIT)增长了52%,这种增长将使其管理债务变得更加容易。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务。然而,你不能孤立地看待债务;因为趣致集团需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你渴望更多地了解它的收益,查看其长期收益趋势图可能值得一看。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Qunabox Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Qunabox Group created free cash flow amounting to 11% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为一个公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要真金白银。趣致集团在资产负债表上可能有净现金,但观察该业务如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,趣致集团创造的自由现金流相当于其EBIT的11%,这是一项表现不佳的成绩。对我们来说,这么低的现金转换率令人对其偿债能力产生了一点焦虑。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Qunabox Group has CN¥656.1m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 52% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Qunabox Group's use of debt is risky. Even though Qunabox Group lost money on the bottom line, its positive EBIT suggests the business itself has potential. So you might want to check out how earnings have been trending over the last few years.
虽然调查公司的债务始终是明智的,但在这种情况下,趣致集团拥有65610万CN¥的净现金和看起来不错的资产负债表。我们喜欢去年的52%同比EBIt增长的表现。因此,我们认为趣致集团的债务使用并不冒险。即使趣致集团在底线亏损,其正的EBIt表明该业务本身具有潜力。所以你可能想查看一下过去几年盈利的趋势。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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