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Is AisinoLtd (SHSE:600271) A Risky Investment?

Is AisinoLtd (SHSE:600271) A Risky Investment?

Aisino有限公司 (SHSE:600271) 是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  11/24 20:52

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Aisino Co.Ltd. (SHSE:600271) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他表示,与其担心股票价格的波动,不如说,'我担心的风险是永久性损失的可能性……这是每一个我所知道的实际投资者都担心的。' 所以看起来聪明的钱知道,债务——通常与破产有关——在评估一家公司的风险时是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,合众思壮股份有限公司 (SHSE:600271) 确实有债务。但这个债务对股东来说是个问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务能够帮助企业,直到企业无法用新资本或自由现金流支付债务。在最糟糕的情况下,如果企业无法偿还债权人,它可以破产。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本资金,从而永久性地稀释股东的所有权。话虽如此,最常见的情况是一家公司合理地管理其债务-并且出于自身利益。考虑公司的债务水平时的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。

What Is AisinoLtd's Debt?

合众思壮公司的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that AisinoLtd had debt of CN¥400.6m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥476.6m over a year. However, it does have CN¥6.74b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥6.34b.

下面的图片(您可以点击以获取更多细节)显示,到2024年9月底,合众思壮公司负债为40060万人民币,比一年前的47660万人民币有所减少。然而,它拥有67.4亿人民币的现金来抵消这部分负债,从而实现净现金为63.4亿人民币。

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SHSE:600271 Debt to Equity History November 25th 2024
SHSE:600271 债务与股本历史 2024年11月25日

A Look At AisinoLtd's Liabilities

审视AisinoLtd的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AisinoLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.83b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥272.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.74b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.04b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥5.68b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

聚焦最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到AisinoLtd的负债为38.3亿人民币,需在12个月内到期,27200万人民币的负债则在更长时间到期。抵消这些义务,它拥有67.4亿人民币的现金以及30.4亿人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它实际上持有比总负债多出56.8亿人民币的流动资产。

This surplus liquidity suggests that AisinoLtd's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, AisinoLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine AisinoLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种多余的流动性表明,AisinoLtd的资产负债表可以承受打击,就像Homer Simpson的头可以承受拳击一样。考虑到这一事实,我们认为它的资产负债表如牛般强健。简而言之,AisinoLtd拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说它没有沉重的债务负担!资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但更多的是未来的盈利,决定了AisinoLtd维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会觉得这份有关分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, AisinoLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥8.3b, which is a fall of 48%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在过去12个月里,AisinoLtd在EBIT层面上亏损,并且营业收入降至83亿人民币,下降了48%。坦白说,这并不乐观。

So How Risky Is AisinoLtd?

那么AisinoLtd的风险有多大?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that AisinoLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥5.1m of cash and made a loss of CN¥278m. Given it only has net cash of CN¥6.34b, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how AisinoLtd's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

我们毫不怀疑,亏损公司通常比盈利公司更具风险。我们确实注意到AisinoLtd在过去一年中出现了利息和税前收益(EBIT)的亏损。事实上,在这一期间,它耗尽了510万人民币的现金并亏损了27800万人民币。考虑到它只有63.4亿人民币的净现金,如果不尽快达到收支平衡,公司可能需要筹集更多资金。尽管它的资产负债表似乎有足够的流动性,但如果一家公司无法定期产生自由现金流,债务总是让我们感到有些不安。当我们查看一家风险较高的公司时,我们喜欢检查他们的利润(或亏损)随时间的趋势。今天,我们向读者提供这幅互动图,展示了AisinoLtd的利润、营业收入和经营现金流在过去几年中的变化。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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