CN Vs. CP Rail: Which Is the Better Transportation Stock for Canadian Investors Heading Into 2025?
CN Vs. CP Rail: Which Is the Better Transportation Stock for Canadian Investors Heading Into 2025?
The rail stocks have been chugging lower in recent months, thanks in part to temporary setbacks (think work stoppages, strikes, etc.). With high barriers to entry into the rail business and the steady, predictable dividend (and earnings) growth trajectories, Canada's top rail stocks seem poised to get back on their feet after suffering a few stumbles of late.
近几个月来,铁路股票的表现一直走低,部分原因是暂时性挫折(例如停工、罢工等)。由于进入铁路业务的门槛高,且股息(和收入)增长轨迹稳定可预测,加拿大顶尖的铁路股票看起来在经历了最近一段时间的几次失误后,似乎已经准备好重展雄风。
Indeed, the Canadian and U.S. economies need rails to transport massive amounts of goods in order to stay well-oiled. While the odd rail strike, derailment, or even environmental factors like forest fires could take a great deal away from a quarter, I'd argue that it's the long-term game that counts when it comes to the top rails.
事实上,加拿大和美国经济需要铁路来运输大量货物以保持良好的运转。虽然偶尔会出现铁路罢工、出轨事故,甚至像森林火灾这样的环境因素可能会大幅损失一个季度的业绩,但我认为对于顶尖铁路公司而言,最重要的是长期发展。
At the end of the day, trucks cannot step in for the top rails when bulk shipments need to go from one coast to another. Either way, let's have a closer look at Canada's top two rail stocks to see which, if either, is a tempting buy on recent weakness for 2025 and beyond.
说到底,当需要大量货物从一海岸运往另一海岸时,卡车无法取代顶尖铁路。无论如何,让我们更仔细地看看加拿大顶尖两家铁路股票,看看哪一家,在2025年及以后的最近弱势中,是一个值得考虑的买入选择。
It's been a forgettable year for both railways, but as Canada's economy and the TSX Index attempt to heat up in the new year, perhaps value investors may wish to give the following names a second look while they're still down and out.
对于两家铁路公司来说,今年是一个让人难以忘怀的一年,但随着加拿大经济和TSX指数在新一年试图走热,或许价值投资者们可以考虑给以下公司一个重新审视的机会,因为它们仍处于低谷之中。
CN Rail
CN Rail
CN Rail (TSX:CNR) stock is ready to end off what's been a relatively muted year. Indeed, some headwinds hurt the quarterly results a bit. While you can't fault management for any setbacks, I think some big changes will be needed if the still-robust railway is to reclaim its title of North America's most efficient railway.
加拿大国家铁路(CN Rail)(TSX:CNR)股票已经做好结束相对平淡的一年的准备。事实上,一些不利因素对季度业绩造成了一定影响。虽然管理层并不应对任何挫折,但我认为如果这家仍然强劲的铁路公司想要重新夺回北美最高效铁路公司的头衔,一些重大改变是必要的。
Though CN Rail isn't operating poorly, given the unfortunate circumstances (think numerous disruptions), I do believe there is low-hanging fruit to go after to improve upon the rail's efficiency metrics. Either way, I do see ample value in the name today as the stock continues trending lower. Whether the current management team can effectively unlock such value, however, remains the big question going into 2025. Year to date, the stock is down around 7%.
尽管加拿大国家铁路运营状况并不差,但在遭遇不幸的情况(如数次干扰)之下,我确信存在改进铁路效率指标的低 hanging fruit。无论如何,我认为这个名字如今仍存在 ample value,随着股价持续走低。然而,当前管理团队是否可以有效释放这种价值,将成为进入2025年时的重要问题。截至目前,该股价下跌约7%。
With a padded 2.22% dividend yield that's scheduled to grow every single year, I'd not be afraid to chase the dividend growth stock on the way down. At $155 per share, I think you're getting a fantastic deal as the railway looks to move past work stoppages and other disruptions that took away from what could have been an up year for the stock.
拥有2.22%的固定股息率,且每年增长,我不会害怕在股价下跌时追逐这支股息增长股。以每股155美元的价格,我认为你正在买到一个很划算的交易,因为该铁路公司正力求摆脱停工和其他干扰,这些干扰扼杀了这只股票可能取得好业绩的机会。
CP Rail (or CPKC)
加拿大太平洋铁路(CP Rail)或CPKC
CP Rail (TSX:CP) has been known as CPKS (Canadian Pacific Kansas City) for a while now. Whatever you still call the firm, it's a dominant rail player that has what it takes to go full speed ahead over the longer term. Going into 2025, though, I'd temper my expectations on the rail firm despite its resilience amid industry headwinds.
加拿大太平洋铁路(TSX:CP)目前已被称为CPKS(加拿大太平洋堪萨斯城),无论您如何称呼该公司,它都是一个具有长期发展潜力的主导铁路运营商。尽管这家铁路公司在行业逆风中表现坚韧,但进入2025年,我会对其降低预期。
Though there are potential growth drivers to be had around the Mexican border, I can't say I'm enthused to pay a 28.3 times trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple for CP shares when CNR is going for just 18.4 times trailing P/E. Sure, there's more growth in CP, but I think you're paying way too high a premium to get such growth.
尽管墨西哥边境附近存在潜在的增长动力,但我并不热衷于以28.3倍的市盈率买入CP股票,而CNR的市盈率仅为18.4倍。当然,CP的增长空间更大,但我认为您付出的溢价过高。
As such, I view CNR stock as the far better value option in 2025. There's also a nicer dividend (2.22% yield vs. CP's 0.72%) to collect while you wait patiently for the rails to hit the high track again.
因此,我认为CNR股票是2025年更有价值的选择。此外,CNR还提供更高的股息率(2.22% vs CP的0.72%),您可以在等待铁路股再次触及高位时耐心收集。