Is Prada (HKG:1913) A Risky Investment?
Is Prada (HKG:1913) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
沃伦・巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非等同。” 因此,显而易见的是,当您考虑到任何一只股票有多大风险时,您需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。我们可以看到普拉达S.p.A.(HKG:1913)在业务中确实使用了债务。但股东们是否应该担心它使用债务呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般来说,当一家公司无法轻松地偿还债务时,债务才会真正成为一个问题,无论是通过筹集资本,还是通过自身现金流。资本主义不可或缺的过程包含了“创造性毁灭”,在这个过程中,失败的企业会被它们的银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以低于市价的价格发行股份,永久性地稀释股东,以加强其资产负债表。当然,很多公司使用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。当我们审查债务水平时,我们首先综合考虑现金和债务水平。
How Much Debt Does Prada Carry?
普拉达承载多少债务?
As you can see below, Prada had €396.2m of debt at June 2024, down from €486.7m a year prior. However, it does have €661.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €265.0m.
正如您下面所看到的,2024年6月,普拉达的债务为39620万欧元,较一年前的48670万欧元有所下降。然而,它确实有66130万欧元的现金来抵消这笔债务,带来净现金为26500万欧元。
How Strong Is Prada's Balance Sheet?
普拉达的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Prada had liabilities of €1.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of €2.20b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €661.3m in cash and €440.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.70b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
在查看最新的资产负债表数据时,我们可以看到,普拉达有16亿欧元的负债需在12个月内偿还,22亿欧元的负债需超过12个月偿还。与此相抵,它在12个月内有66130万欧元的现金和44070万欧元的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额超过了现金和短期应收账款的组合高出27亿欧元。
Since publicly traded Prada shares are worth a very impressive total of €16.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Prada also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
由于公开交易的普拉达股票总价值为169亿欧元,这种水平的负债似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。然而,我们认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它随时间而变化。尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但普拉达的现金比债务多,因此我们相当有信心它能够安全地管理债务。
Also good is that Prada grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Prada's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
此外,普拉达在过去一年中将其EBIT增长了11%,进一步增加了管理债务的能力。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到大部分关于债务的信息。但比起任何其他事情,未来的收入将决定普拉达保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Prada has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Prada recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 85% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
最后,尽管税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。尽管普拉达在资产负债表上有净现金,但值得看看其将利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它构建(或侵蚀)现金平衡的速度。在过去三年中,普拉达录得自由现金流,价值为其EBIT的丰厚85%,这比我们通常预期的要强。这使其处于非常有利的位置以偿还债务。
Summing Up
总之
While Prada does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €265.0m. The cherry on top was that in converted 85% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €768m. So we don't think Prada's use of debt is risky. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Prada, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
虽然普拉达的负债比流动资产多,但它也有26500万欧元的净现金。 更美妙的是,它将85%的EBIt转换为自由现金流,带来76800万欧元。 所以我们认为普拉达利用债务并不冒险。 随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益走势,因此如果您对普拉达感兴趣,可能会想要点击这里查看其每股收益历史的交互式图表。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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