Improved Revenues Required Before Xiwang Foodstuffs Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000639) Stock's 25% Jump Looks Justified
Improved Revenues Required Before Xiwang Foodstuffs Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000639) Stock's 25% Jump Looks Justified
Despite an already strong run, Xiwang Foodstuffs Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000639) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Food industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.7x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.5% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 19% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we understand why Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd's P/S
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xiwang FoodstuffsLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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