Is Nanjing Public Utilities Development (SZSE:000421) Using Debt Sensibly?
Is Nanjing Public Utilities Development (SZSE:000421) Using Debt Sensibly?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Nanjing Public Utilities Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000421) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
有人说,作为投资者,最好的风险思考方式是波动性,而不是债务,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过'波动性与风险远非同义词。' 因此,当您考虑任何给定股票有多大风险时,显然需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。我们可以看到,南京公用(SZSE:000421)的业务确实使用了债务。但股东们应该担心它使用债务吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
直到业务遇到难以偿还的问题,无论是通过新增资本还是通过自由现金流,债务都可以帮助业务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,放贷人可以接管业务。然而,一种更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,业务不得不以低价筹集新的股本资金,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,有很多公司使用债务来支持成长,而没有任何负面后果。在我们检查债务水平时,首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Nanjing Public Utilities Development's Net Debt?
南京公用的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Nanjing Public Utilities Development had CN¥4.15b of debt, an increase on CN¥3.37b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.51b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥2.63b.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年9月,南京公用负债总额为41.5亿元人民币,较一年前的33.7亿元人民币增加。然而,它拥有15.1亿元人民币的现金来抵消这些债务,导致净债务约26.3亿元人民币。
How Strong Is Nanjing Public Utilities Development's Balance Sheet?
南京公用的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nanjing Public Utilities Development had liabilities of CN¥9.55b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.44b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.51b and CN¥754.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥9.73b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
深入研究最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到南京公用有950亿人民币的12个月内到期负债,以及24.4亿人民币到期时间超过12个月的负债。另一方面,它手头有15.1亿人民币的现金和1.543亿人民币的一年内应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收款项的总和多了97.3亿人民币。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥4.04b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Nanjing Public Utilities Development would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Nanjing Public Utilities Development will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
这里的不足严重拖累着40.4亿人民币的公司本身,就像一个孩子承受着背包里装满了书籍、体育装备和小号的重量一样。所以毫无疑问,我们会密切关注它的资产负债表。毕竟,如果南京公用今天必须偿还债务,很可能需要进行大规模的再融资。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的领域。但是你不能孤立地看待债务;因为南京公用需要盈利来支付这笔债务。因此,在考虑债务时,势必要关注盈利趋势。点击这里查看互动快照。
In the last year Nanjing Public Utilities Development had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 30%, to CN¥4.9b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
去年,南京公用的利息和税前亏损,实际上将其营业收入减少了300亿人民币,这让我们至少感到紧张。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
While Nanjing Public Utilities Development's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥51m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CN¥1.0b in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Nanjing Public Utilities Development has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
虽然南京公用营业收入下降就像一条湿毯一样让人心凉,可以说它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)亏损更令人担忧。具体来说,EBIT亏损达到了5100万人民币。当我们将此与巨额的负债放一起看时,我们对这家公司并不特别有信心。它需要迅速改善经营才能引起我们的兴趣。尤其是因为它在过去一年中消耗了10亿人民币的负自由现金流。因此,我们认为这支股票存在风险是毫无疑问的。毕竟,我们可以从资产负债表中最多了解到债务。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超过资产负债表之外的风险。例如-我们认为你应该注意南京公用存在3个警示信号。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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