The One-year Decline in Earnings for China Cinda Asset Management HKG:1359) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 64% Over That Period
The One-year Decline in Earnings for China Cinda Asset Management HKG:1359) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 64% Over That Period
It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd. (HKG:1359) share price down 15% in the last month. But that doesn't change the reality that over twelve months the stock has done really well. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 52% in that time.
上个月,中国信达资产管理有限公司(HKG: 1359)的股价下跌了15%,这可能会引起股东的担忧。但这并不能改变这样的现实,即该股在十二个月内表现非常出色。毕竟,当时股价上涨了52%,超过了市场。
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 7.0%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
由于长期表现良好,但最近回调了7.0%,因此让我们检查一下基本面是否与股价相符。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
Over the last twelve months, China Cinda Asset Management actually shrank its EPS by 52%.
在过去的十二个月中,中国信达资产管理实际上将其每股收益缩减了52%。
So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.
因此,我们认为投资者对每股收益的关注不多。因此,目前投资者似乎更重视每股收益以外的指标。
We haven't seen China Cinda Asset Management increase dividend payments yet, so the yield probably hasn't helped drive the share higher. It seems far more likely that the 20% boost to the revenue over the last year, is making the difference. After all, it's not necessarily a bad thing if a business sacrifices profits today in pursuit of profit tomorrow (metaphorically speaking).
我们还没有看到中国信达资产管理增加股息支付,因此收益率可能无助于推动股价上涨。与去年相比,收入增长20%的可能性似乎要大得多。毕竟,如果一家企业为了追求明天的利润而牺牲今天的利润,这不一定是一件坏事(比喻地说)。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本状况相似的公司的大多数首席执行官更适中。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。因此,我们建议您查看这份显示共识预测的免费报告
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Cinda Asset Management's TSR for the last 1 year was 64%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,中国信达资产管理在过去一年的股东总回报率为64%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that China Cinda Asset Management has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 64% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 2% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for China Cinda Asset Management (2 are significant) that you should be aware of.
很高兴看到中国信达资产管理在过去十二个月中向股东提供了64%的总股东回报率。当然,这包括股息。由于一年期股东总回报率好于五年期股东总回报率(后者为每年2%),因此该股的表现似乎在最近有所改善。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经为中国信达资产管理确定了5个警告信号(2个很重要),你应该注意这些信号。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一样,那么你一定不想错过这份内部人士正在买入的被低估的小盘股的免费清单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。