Health Check: How Prudently Does Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd (SHSE:601777) Use Debt?
Health Check: How Prudently Does Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd (SHSE:601777) Use Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601777) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
伯克希尔哈撤威的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录认为:“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动,而在于你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”看来聪明的钱知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险性时非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,力帆科技(集团)股份有限公司(SHSE:601777)在业务中使用了债务。但这种债务会不会让股东担忧呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还贷款,就处于贷款方的掌控之下。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款方可以接管企业。然而,一种更经常发生的(但仍然代价昂贵)情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,负债的好处是,它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它代替具有高回报能力的公司的稀释时。考虑企业使用多少负债时,首先要做的是将其现金和债务放在一起看。
What Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's Debt?
力帆科技(集团)股份有限公司的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had CN¥2.01b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥2.80b, one year before. But it also has CN¥3.24b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.23b net cash.
您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但它显示力帆科技(集团)股份有限公司于2024年9月有20.1亿元的债务,低于之前一年的28亿元。但它也有32.4亿元的现金来抵销,意味着它有12.3亿元的净现金。
How Healthy Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's Balance Sheet?
力帆科技(集团)股份有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had liabilities of CN¥7.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.97b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.24b and CN¥1.60b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.26b.
从最近的资产负债表可以看出,力帆科技(集团)有限公司的到期负债中有71.2亿元人民币是在一年内到期的,而19.7亿元人民币是逾期的。另一方面,公司有32.4亿元人民币的现金和16亿元人民币的应收款项在一年内到期。因此,债务超过了现金和(短期)应收款项的总和42.6亿元人民币。
Since publicly traded Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd shares are worth a total of CN¥32.0b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
公开交易的力帆科技(集团)股票总值为320亿元人民币,这个程度的负债看起来不太可能构成重大威胁。但是有足够的负债,我们肯定建议股东继续监控资产负债表。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但力帆科技(集团)也比债务多,所以我们相当确信它可以安全地管理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得的关于债务的大部分信息。但你不能孤立地看待债务;因为力帆科技(集团)需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注盈利趋势。点击这里查看交互性摘要。
In the last year Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 5.5%, to CN¥7.3b. We would much prefer see growth.
在过去一年,力帆科技(集团)公司利润税前亏损,并实际收入下降了5.5%,为73亿元人民币。我们更希望看到增长。
So How Risky Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd?
那么力帆科技(集团)股份有限公司到底有多大的风险?
While Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥2.4m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd that you should be aware of before investing here.
虽然力帆科技(集团)公司在利息和税前收益(EBIT)水平上亏损,但实际上取得了240万元的纸面利润。因此,考虑到公司净现金以及法定利润,至少在短期内,股票可能并不像看起来那么风险。在我们看到一些正面EBIt之前,我们对该股持谨慎态度,其中主要原因是收入增长相当温和。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了关于债务的大部分信息。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。例如,我们发现了力帆科技(集团)公司的两个警示指标,你在投资之前应该注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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