Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (SHSE:600346) Sheds CN¥4.3b, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years
Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (SHSE:600346) Sheds CN¥4.3b, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Hengli Petrochemical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600346) shareholders, since the share price is down 33% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 16%.
为了合理化选择个股的努力,值得努力超越市场指数基金的收益。但挑选股票的风险在于你可能会买入表现不佳的公司。不幸的是,对于长期的恒力石化股份有限公司(SHSE:600346)股东来说,这种情况已经发生,因为在过去三年中,股价下跌了33%,远低于市场大约16%的下跌幅度。
With the stock having lost 4.1% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
股票在过去一周失去了4.1%,值得关注其业务表现并查看是否存在任何风险信号。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
尽管市场是一个强大的定价机制,股价不仅反映了基本业务表现,还反映了投资者的情绪。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价变化,并随时间推移这样做,我们可以了解股东对公司的态度如何随时间变化。
Hengli PetrochemicalLtd saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 27% per year, over the last three years. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 13% compound annual share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in.
在过去三年中,恒力石化的每股收益以27%的复合年率下降。每股收益的下降比每年13%的股价复合年下降更为严重。因此,市场目前可能并不太担心每股收益这一数据——或者可能之前已经将部分跌幅考虑在内。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
We know that Hengli PetrochemicalLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Hengli PetrochemicalLtd will grow revenue in the future.
我们知道恒力石化有限公司最近改善了其盈利状况,但它会增长营业收入吗?检查一下分析师是否认为恒力石化有限公司未来会增长营业收入。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was -27%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
考虑任何股票的总股东回报以及股价回报非常重要。总股东回报(TSR)是一种收益计算,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣融资和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,总股东回报为支付分红的股票提供了更完整的图景。我们注意到,恒力石化有限公司在过去三年的总股东回报为-27%,这比上述的股价回报要好。公司支付的分红因此提高了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Hengli PetrochemicalLtd's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 5.0%. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 3%. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (including 1 which is significant) .
恒力石化有限公司的年份总股东回报大致与市场平均水平一致,为5.0%。大多数人会对获得收益感到高兴,并且这一年的回报实际上比五年的平均回报(3%)要好。即使股价增长从此放缓,这也可能是一个值得长期关注的业务。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响非常重要,但还有其他因素更为关键。为此,您应该了解我们发现的恒力石化有限公司的2个警告信号(其中1个是显著的)。
We will like Hengli PetrochemicalLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到恒力石化有一些大额内部人士买入,我们会更喜欢它。在我们等待的时候,来查看这个免费名单,里面是一些被低估的股票(大多是小盘股),近期有大量的内部人士买入。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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