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Warren Buffett Once Predicted A 'Bad Ending' For Crypto. Since Then, The Sector's Market Cap Has Quadrupled, Riding On The Bitcoin, Dogecoin Waves

Warren Buffett Once Predicted A 'Bad Ending' For Crypto. Since Then, The Sector's Market Cap Has Quadrupled, Riding On The Bitcoin, Dogecoin Waves

沃伦·巴菲特曾预测加密货币会有一个‘糟糕的结局’。自那时以来,板块的市值已经翻了四倍,借助比特币和狗狗币的浪潮。
Benzinga ·  2024/11/26 19:00

Veteran Wall Street investor Warren Buffett is known for his unabashed takes on cryptocurrencies and has never shied away from voicing his disapproval in the harshest terms possible.

华尔街资深投资者沃伦·巴菲特以其对加密货币毫不掩饰的看法而闻名,他从未回避以最严厉的措辞表示不赞成。

What happened: Buffett has made Berkshire Hathaway into one of the world's most valuable corporations through a succession of acquisitions and investments over the years, becoming one of the most followed stock investors globally.

发生了什么:巴菲特多年来通过一系列收购和投资,使伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司成为世界上最有价值的公司之一,成为全球最受关注的股票投资者之一。

However, cryptocurrency as a financial asset has failed to capture the interest of the "Oracle of Omaha."

但是,加密货币作为一种金融资产未能获得 “奥马哈甲骨文” 的兴趣。

During a January 2018 interview with CNBC, Buffett said he sees little hope for the asset class.

巴菲特在2018年1月接受CNBC采访时表示,他认为该资产类别的希望微乎其微。

"In terms of cryptocurrencies generally, I can say almost with certainty that they will come to a bad ending," he argued. "If I could buy a five-year put on every one of the cryptocurrencies, I'd be glad to do it, but I would never short a dime's worth."

他争辩说:“就加密货币而言,我几乎可以肯定地说它们将走向一个糟糕的结局。”“如果我能买入每种加密货币的五年期看跌期权,我会很乐意这样做,但我永远不会做空一毛钱。”

See Also: Crypto Analyst: Bitcoin Poised To Skyrocket To $180K and 'Eventually' Top $1M

另见:加密分析师:比特币有望飙升至18万美元,“最终” 突破100万美元

When Buffetts made these remarks, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization was $828 billion, compared to Berkshire Hathaway's valuation of $510 billion.

当巴菲特发表这些言论时,加密货币的总市值为8280亿美元,而伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的估值为5,100亿美元。

Fast forward to now, the cryptocurrency market has ballooned to a market value of $3.23 trillion, implying a 290%, or nearly fourfold, expansion.

快进到现在,加密货币市场的市值已激增至3.23万亿美元,这意味着增长了290%,即近四倍。

During this time, leading cryptocurrencies recorded astronomical gains, with Bitcoin surging 520% and meme token Dogecoin exploding 2,961%.

在此期间,领先的加密货币创下了天文数字的涨幅,比特币飙升了520%,模因代币狗狗币暴涨了2,961%。

Cryptocurrency Price (Recorded during Buffett's Remarks) Price (Recorded at 3:06 a.m. EDT) Gains +/-
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) $15,043 $93,343.04 520.508%
Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) $1,248.00 $3,379.52 170.795%
Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) $0.012839 $0.3931 2961.76%
加密货币 价格(记录在巴菲特讲话中) 价格(美国东部时间凌晨 3:06 录制) 收益 +/-
比特币(加密货币:BTC) 15,043 美元 93,343.04 美元 520.508%
以太坊(加密货币:ETH) 1,248.00 美元 3,379.52 美元 170.795%
狗狗币(加密货币:DOGE) 0.012839 美元 0.3931 美元 2961.76%

In comparison, Berkshire's market valuation stood at $1.03 trillion. This meant that the cryptocurrency market is three times as big as Buffett's firm today.

相比之下,伯克希尔的市场估值为1.03万亿美元。这意味着加密货币市场的规模是当今巴菲特公司的三倍。

It should be noted that the legendary investor has not bought cryptocurrencies, directly or through exchange-traded funds.

应该指出的是,这位传奇投资者没有直接或通过交易所交易基金购买加密货币。

That said, Buffett and Berkshire are shareholders in Nu Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:NU), a crypto-friendly digital bank in Brazil. According to the company's latest 13F filing, it had a position worth over $1 billion in Nu Holdings.

尽管如此,巴菲特和伯克希尔是巴西一家对加密货币友好的数字银行 Nu Holdings Ltd.(纽约证券交易所代码:NU)的股东。根据该公司最新的13F文件,其在Nu Holdings的头寸价值超过10亿美元。

Why It Matters: For the uninitiated, the "Inverse Cramer" phenomenon hinges on the belief that doing the opposite of what Cramer advises could lead to profits.

为何重要:对于初学者来说,“反向克莱默” 现象取决于这样的信念,即做与克莱默建议相反的事情可能会带来利润。

In fact, an exchange-traded fund (ETF) was floated in 2022, allowing investors to bet against Cramer's predictions. The ETF eventually shut down earlier this year.

实际上,交易所交易基金(ETF)于2022年上市,这使投资者可以押注克莱默的预测。该ETF最终在今年早些时候关闭。

Even influential cryptocurrency analysts like Ali Martinez wrote, "Another sell signal," reacting to Cramer's endorsement.

即使是像阿里·马丁内斯这样有影响力的加密货币分析师也写道,“又一个卖出信号”,对克莱默的支持做出了回应。

Another sell signal...pic.twitter.com/YlJv9oPocw

— Ali (@ali_charts) November 23, 2024

另一个卖出信号。.pic.twitter.com/yljv9OPOCW

— 阿里 (@ali_charts) 2024 年 11 月 23 日

That said, there has been no definitive proof of counter-trading Cramer's predictions being a profitable strategy.

尽管如此,还没有确凿的证据表明反交易克莱默的预测是一种有利可图的策略。

Price Action: At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $93,343.04, plunging 5.72% in the last 24 hours, according to data from Benzinga Pro.

价格走势:根据Benzinga Pro的数据,在撰写本文时,比特币的交易价格为93,343.04美元,在过去24小时内下跌了5.72%。

  • Crypto Expert Who Called 2022 Market Crash Warns About Bitcoin
  • 称2022年市场崩盘的加密专家警告比特币

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