Is Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE:RL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,拉尔夫·劳伦公司(纽约证券交易所代码:RL)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。
When Is Debt A Problem?
债务何时会成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。
What Is Ralph Lauren's Net Debt?
拉尔夫·劳伦的净负债是多少?
As you can see below, Ralph Lauren had US$1.14b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$1.69b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$548.2m.
如下所示,截至2024年9月,拉尔夫·劳伦有11.4亿美元的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但是,它确实有16.9亿美元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为5.482亿美元。
How Healthy Is Ralph Lauren's Balance Sheet?
拉尔夫·劳伦的资产负债表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ralph Lauren had liabilities of US$2.09b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.27b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.69b and US$643.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.02b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,拉尔夫·劳伦在12个月内到期的负债为20.9亿美元,之后到期的负债为22.7亿美元。另一方面,它有16.9亿美元的现金和价值6.437亿美元的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出20.2亿美元。
Given Ralph Lauren has a humongous market capitalization of US$13.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Ralph Lauren boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
鉴于拉尔夫·劳伦的庞大市值为132亿美元,很难相信这些负债会构成很大的威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。尽管负债值得关注,但拉尔夫·劳伦拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Ralph Lauren has boosted its EBIT by 52%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ralph Lauren's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
除此之外,我们很高兴地报告,拉尔夫·劳伦已将其息税前利润提高了52%,从而减少了对未来债务偿还的担忧。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益比什么都更能决定拉尔夫·劳伦未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Ralph Lauren has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Ralph Lauren recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管拉尔夫·劳伦的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看它是否有能力将利息和税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在最近三年中,拉尔夫·劳伦记录的自由现金流占其息税前利润的73%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Summing Up
总结
Although Ralph Lauren's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$548.2m. And we liked the look of last year's 52% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Ralph Lauren's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Ralph Lauren , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
尽管由于负债总额,拉尔夫·劳伦的资产负债表并不是特别强劲,但其净现金为5.482亿美元,显然是乐观的。我们喜欢去年息税前利润同比增长52%的样子。因此,我们认为拉尔夫·劳伦使用债务没有风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。我们已经向拉尔夫·劳伦确定了两个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司身上。读者现在可以免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。