AECOM's (NYSE:ACM) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the 23% YoY Shareholder Returns
AECOM's (NYSE:ACM) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the 23% YoY Shareholder Returns
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance, the price of AECOM (NYSE:ACM) stock is up an impressive 174% over the last five years. On top of that, the share price is up 15% in about a quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 8.2% in 90 days).
在购买公司股票(假设没有杠杆作用)之后,最糟糕的结果是你损失了所有投入的资金。但是,当你选择一家真正蓬勃发展的公司时,你的收入可以超过100%。例如,AeCom(纽约证券交易所代码:ACM)的股票价格在过去五年中上涨了令人印象深刻的174%。最重要的是,股价在大约一个季度内上涨了15%。但是,这一举措很可能得到了相当活跃的市场(90天内上涨8.2%)的推动。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for AECOM investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
事实证明,过去一周对AeCom投资者来说是有利可图的,所以让我们看看基本面是否推动了该公司的五年业绩。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。
Over half a decade, AECOM managed to grow its earnings per share at 23% a year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 22%. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
在过去的五年中,AeCom设法将其每股收益增长到每年23%。这使得每股收益的增长特别接近22%的年度股价增长。这表明,在那段时间内,公司周围的市场情绪没有太大变化。相反,股价大致追踪了每股收益的增长。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。
We know that AECOM has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.
我们知道AeCom最近提高了利润,但它会增加收入吗?您可以查看这份显示分析师收入预测的免费报告。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, AECOM's TSR for the last 5 years was 181%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,AECOM在过去5年的股东总回报率为181%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
AECOM shareholders have received returns of 33% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 23%. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. If you would like to research AECOM in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.
AeCom股东在十二个月内获得了33%的回报(甚至包括股息),这与总体市场回报率相差不远。大多数人会对收益感到满意,而今年的回报率实际上好于五年的平均回报率(23%),这很有帮助。即使股价放缓,管理层的远见也有可能为未来带来增长。如果你想更详细地研究AeCom,那么你可能需要看看内部人士是否在买入或卖出该公司的股票。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你想和管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司清单。(提示:其中许多未被注意且估值诱人)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。