Liuzhou Liangmianzhen Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600249) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 35x, you may consider Liuzhou Liangmianzhen as a stock to potentially avoid with its 47.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Liuzhou Liangmianzhen certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Liuzhou Liangmianzhen will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Liuzhou Liangmianzhen's Growth Trending?
Liuzhou Liangmianzhen's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 55% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 39% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it concerning that Liuzhou Liangmianzhen is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
The large bounce in Liuzhou Liangmianzhen's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Liuzhou Liangmianzhen revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Liuzhou Liangmianzhen you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Liuzhou Liangmianzhen, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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