Profit Cultural and Creative Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300640) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 48% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 16% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Profit Cultural and Creative Group is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Consumer Durables industry have P/S ratios below 2.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Profit Cultural and Creative Group Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at Profit Cultural and Creative Group over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Profit Cultural and Creative Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Profit Cultural and Creative Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 16% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen a 14% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 10% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Profit Cultural and Creative Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Profit Cultural and Creative Group shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Profit Cultural and Creative Group currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Profit Cultural and Creative Group has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
有鉴于此,令人震惊的是,Profit Cultural and Creative Group的市销率高于其他多数公司。看来大多数投资者都忽视了近期相当有限的增长率,并希望公司的业务前景有所好转。如果市销售率降至更符合近期增长率的水平,现有股东很有可能为未来的失望做好准备。
关键要点
Profit Cultural and Creative Group的股票已向北方向迈出了一大步,但其市销率因此上升。仅使用市销率来确定是否应该出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作为公司未来前景的实用指南。
Profit Cultural and Creative Group目前相对于该行业的市销率更高,这一事实很奇怪,因为其最近三年的增长低于整个行业的预测。当我们观察到收入增长慢于行业且市销率高时,我们假设存在股价下跌的巨大风险,这将导致市销率降低。除非公司的中期业绩有显著改善,否则很难防止市销率下降到更合理的水平。
您需要注意风险,例如,Profit Cultural and Creative Group有4个警告信号(其中2个令人担忧),我们认为您应该知道。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗?直接联系我们。或者,发送电子邮件给编辑组(网址为)simplywallst.com。 Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。