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The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock (SZSE:000690) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock (SZSE:000690) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

宝新能源(SZSE:000690)的五年基础盈利增长是有希望的,但股东们在这段时间仍然亏损
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/26 18:43

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000690) share price has gained 12% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 20% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

虽然这不是一个令人震惊的举动,但看到宝新能源股份有限公司(SZSE:000690)的股价在过去三个月上涨了12%还是不错的。 但这并不改变过去五年回报不尽如人意的事实。 毕竟,在此期间股价下跌了20%,表现明显落后于市场。

Since Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock has shed CN¥392m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由于宝新能源在过去7天内价值蒸发了39200万CN¥,我们来看看长期的下滑是否受到了业务经济学的影响。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的话,“船只会在世界各地航行,但扁平地球协会将空前盛行。市场上的价格和价值将继续存在巨大差异… ”检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

While the share price declined over five years, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 21% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管在五年间股价有所下跌,宝新能源实际上每年平均成功增加了每股收益21%。 鉴于股价的反应,人们可能怀疑在此期间每股收益是否是业务表现的良好指标(可能由于一次性的损失或收益)。 或者,过去的增长预期可能是不切实际的。

It's strange to see such muted share price performance despite sustained growth. Perhaps a clue lies in other metrics.

尽管股票收益很重要,但还要考虑股东的总回报。 TSR包括任何分拆或折扣资本募集的价值以及任何分红,基于假设分红再投资。可以说,TSR给出了一个更全面的股票回报图景。恰好,过去5年Westamerica Bancorporation的TSR为-1.4%,超过了前面提到的股票回报。主要原因是其股息支付!

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

我们注意到股息仍然很健康,因此不能真正解释股价下跌。我们不立即清楚股价下跌的原因,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

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SZSE:000690 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 26th 2024
深证:000690 盈利和营业收入增长 2024年11月26日

We know that Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我们知道宝新能源股票最近改善了其盈利能力,但未来会怎样呢?所以我们建议查看这份免费的报告,显示一致的预测。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock's TSR for the last 5 years was -6.8%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。而股价回报仅反映股价的变化,总股东回报包括分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价融资或分拆的益处。因此,对于支付慷慨分红的公司,总股东回报往往远高于股价回报。实际上,宝新能源股票在过去5年的总股东回报为-6.8%,超过之前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

While the broader market gained around 5.3% in the last year, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock shareholders lost 1.4% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 1.3% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

尽管大盘在过去一年上涨了大约5.3%,但宝新能源的股东却损失了1.4%(即使包括分红派息)。但请记住,即使是最好的股票,有时在十二个月的时间内也会表现不佳。不幸的是,由于过去五年损失了1.3%,长期股东的情况更糟。我们需要在关键指标上看到一些持续的改善,才能激发我们的热情。我发现,从长远来看,股价作为业务表现的代理非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即便如此,请注意,宝新能源在我们的投资分析中显示出一个警告信号,您应该知道……

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果您和我一样,那么您一定不想错过这份免费的被内部人员买入的低估小盘股清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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