We Think HONG RI DA Technology (SZSE:301285) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
We Think HONG RI DA Technology (SZSE:301285) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that HONG RI DA Technology Company Limited (SZSE:301285) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有人说波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾著名地表示“波动性远非风险的同义词。” 当我们考虑一家公司有多风险时,我们总是喜欢关注其债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致毁灭。 我们可以看到,鸿日达科技有限公司(SZSE:301285)确实在其业务中使用了债务。 但是,这些债务对股东而言是否是个问题呢?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻松用自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹资来履行债务时,债务和其他负债就会成为业务的风险因素。 最坏的情况是,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人,就会破产。 但更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以低于市价的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股权,以弥补其资产负债表。 当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,特别是在资产密集型企业。 当我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,我们首先会一起看现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does HONG RI DA Technology Carry?
鸿日达科技的债务有多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 HONG RI DA Technology had debt of CN¥520.4m, up from CN¥392.0m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥542.5m in cash, leading to a CN¥22.1m net cash position.
下面的图像,您可以点击以获取更详细的信息,显示截至2024年9月鸿日达科技的债务为52040万元,较一年前的39200万元有所增加。 但另一方面,它也有54250万元的现金,导致2210万元的净现金头寸。
How Strong Is HONG RI DA Technology's Balance Sheet?
HONG RI DA科技的资产负债表有多强劲?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HONG RI DA Technology had liabilities of CN¥868.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥60.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥542.5m in cash and CN¥335.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥50.4m.
深入最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到HONG RI DA科技的负债为86820万人民币,12个月内到期,6000万人民币的负债在此之后到期。 作为抵消,它有54250万人民币的现金和33530万人民币的应收款,都是在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收款的总和5040万人民币。
This state of affairs indicates that HONG RI DA Technology's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥5.85b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, HONG RI DA Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种情况表明HONG RI DA科技的资产负债表看起来相当稳固,因为它的总负债几乎等于其流动资产。因此,虽然很难想象这家58.5亿人民币的公司在挣扎于现金,但我们仍认为监控其资产负债表是值得的。尽管它的负债显著,HONG RI DA科技仍然拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!
In fact HONG RI DA Technology's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 29% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since HONG RI DA Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
实际上,HONG RI DA科技的救命稻草就是它的低债务水平,因为它的息税前利润(EBIT)在过去12个月中暴跌了29%。若这一趋势持续,下降的收益最终可能使即使是适度的债务变得非常危险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但你不能孤立地看待债务;HONG RI DA科技需要收益来偿还这些债务。因此,如果你想了解更多关于它的收益情况,可以查看这张它的长期收益趋势图。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. HONG RI DA Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, HONG RI DA Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,一家公司只能用冷硬的现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。HONG RI DA科技可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但查看该公司如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流,依然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,HONG RI DA科技的自由现金流总量显著为负。虽然投资者无疑期望这一情况在适当时候会逆转,但这显然意味着它的债务使用风险更大。
Summing Up
总之
We could understand if investors are concerned about HONG RI DA Technology's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥22.1m. So while HONG RI DA Technology does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for HONG RI DA Technology you should be aware of.
我们可以理解如果投资者对鸿日达科技的负债感到担忧,但我们可以通过其拥有净现金2210万人民币这一事实得到安慰。因此,虽然鸿日达科技的资产负债表并不出色,但也绝对不算太差。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但最终,每个公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。举个例子:我们发现了2个警告信号,对于鸿日达科技你应该保持警惕。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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