Is Rigol Technologies (SHSE:688337) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Rigol Technologies (SHSE:688337) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Rigol Technologies Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688337) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
受到伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露直言不讳地表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务的使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们可以看到,瑞光科技有限公司(SHSE:688337)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得有风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻易偿还时才会真正成为问题,可能是通过融资或用自身的现金流。如果事情变得非常糟糕,贷方可以控制企业。然而,更常见(但依然痛苦)的情况是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,债务的优点是它通常代表着廉价资本,尤其是当它替代了一家能够以高回报率再投资的公司的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司对债务的使用时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。
How Much Debt Does Rigol Technologies Carry?
瑞光科技的债务有多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Rigol Technologies had CN¥365.4m of debt, an increase on CN¥170.3m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥2.15b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.78b.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但数据显示,截至2024年9月,瑞光科技的债务为CN¥36540万,较去年增加了CN¥17030万。然而,它有CN¥21.5亿的现金来抵消这部分债务,导致净现金为CN¥17.8亿。
How Healthy Is Rigol Technologies' Balance Sheet?
瑞果科技的资产负债表健康状况如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Rigol Technologies had liabilities of CN¥599.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥91.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.15b and CN¥164.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.62b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最近报告的资产负债表,瑞果科技在12个月内的负债为59910万人民币,而超过12个月的负债为9100万人民币。另一方面,它拥有现金21.5亿人民币和16460万人民币的应收账款,且这些应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,它可以自豪地拥有比总负债多出16.2亿人民币的流动资产。
This surplus suggests that Rigol Technologies is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Rigol Technologies has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这一盈余表明瑞果科技以一种看起来既安全又保守的方式使用债务。由于它拥有大量资产,它不太可能与贷方发生问题。简单来说,瑞果科技拥有的现金超过债务,这无疑是它能够安全管理债务的良好迹象。
But the bad news is that Rigol Technologies has seen its EBIT plunge 16% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Rigol Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
但坏消息是瑞果科技在过去的十二个月里其EBIT暴跌了16%。我们认为,如果这种表现经常重复,可能会导致股票出现困难。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定瑞果科技是否能够随着时间的推移强化其资产负债表。因此,如果你想了解专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Rigol Technologies may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Rigol Technologies saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
但我们的最后考虑也是重要的,因为公司不能仅靠纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要现金。瑞果科技可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但关注其在税息前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。在过去三年中,瑞果科技的自由现金流总量出现了显著的负值。虽然这可能是由于增长支出的结果,但这确实使债务的风险大大增加。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Rigol Technologies has net cash of CN¥1.78b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Rigol Technologies's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Rigol Technologies is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...
虽然我们理解那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但你应该牢记,Rigol Technologies 具有17.8亿人民币的净现金,并且流动资产多于负债。 所以我们对于 Rigol Technologies 使用债务并没有任何问题。 毫无疑问,我们主要通过资产负债表了解债务。 但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。 请注意,在我们的投资分析中,Rigol Technologies 显示出4个警示信号,其中2个令人有些担忧……
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。