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Does Guangzhou Grandbuy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002187) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Market Could Correct Its Share Price?

Does Guangzhou Grandbuy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002187) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Market Could Correct Its Share Price?

广百股份股份有限公司(SZSE:002187)的基本面疲弱是否意味着市场可能会纠正其股价?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/28 06:01

Guangzhou Grandbuy (SZSE:002187) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 48% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Guangzhou Grandbuy's ROE.

广百股份(SZSE:002187)股价在股票市场上取得了很好的表现,过去三个月股价大幅上涨48%。然而,在本文中,我们决定关注其弱势基本面,因为企业的长期财务表现最终决定了市场结果。在本文中,我们决定重点关注广百股份的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股东权益回报率ROE是测试公司增值能力和管理股东投资的有效性的指标。更简单地说,它衡量公司在股东权益中的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Grandbuy is:

所以,根据上述公式,广百股份的roe是:

1.5% = CN¥59m ÷ CN¥4.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

1.5% = 5900万人民币 ÷ 41亿人民币(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.01 in profit.

“回报”是公司上一年度的收益。另一种理解方式是,公司每CN¥1的股东权益能够赚取CN¥0.01的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经学到 ROE(净资产收益率)可以衡量公司盈利的效率。具体取决于公司再投资或“保留”多少这些利润,以及其有效程度,我们便能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他条件相同,ROE和利润保留率都较高的公司通常比不具备这些特征的公司增长率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Guangzhou Grandbuy's Earnings Growth And 1.5% ROE

广百股份盈利增长和1.5%roe的横向对比

It is hard to argue that Guangzhou Grandbuy's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 3.7%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 32% seen by Guangzhou Grandbuy over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很难说广百股份的roe本身是好的。 即使与行业平均水平3.7%相比,roe数据也相当令人失望。 鉴于公司过去五年净利润下降了32%,这种情况并不令人意外。 我们认为也可能存在其他负面因素影响公司的盈利前景。 例如,公司的股利支付比率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

As a next step, we compared Guangzhou Grandbuy's performance with the industry and found thatGuangzhou Grandbuy's performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 13% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.

作为下一步,我们比较了广百股份的业绩与行业,并发现即使与行业相比,广百股份的业绩也令人沮丧,该行业在同一时期以13%的速度收缩盈利,比公司的速度要慢。

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SZSE:002187 Past Earnings Growth November 27th 2024
SZSE:002187过去的盈利增长2024年11月27日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 002187? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report

收益增长是在估值股票时需要考虑的重要指标。接下来投资者需要判断的是,预期的收益增长,或者缺乏预期的增长,是否已经融入了股价之中。这有助于他们判断股票是走向光明还是黑暗的未来。市场是否已经为002187的未来展望定价?您可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is Guangzhou Grandbuy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

广百股份是否有效利用其利润?

Guangzhou Grandbuy's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 78% (or a retention ratio of 22%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. Our risks dashboard should have the 2 risks we have identified for Guangzhou Grandbuy.

考虑到广百股份将大部分利润用于支付股息,导致盈利下降并不令人意外,根据其三年中位数股息支付比率为78%(或留存比率为22%)。业务仅剩下一小部分资本用于再投资 - 这是一个对公司长期没有好处的恶性循环。我们的风险仪表板应该列出我们为广百股份确定的两项风险。

In addition, Guangzhou Grandbuy has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,广百股份在至少十年的时间段内一直在支付股息,这表明即使以牺牲业务增长为代价,保持股息支付也对管理层至关重要。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, Guangzhou Grandbuy's performance is quite a big let-down. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Guangzhou Grandbuy's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

总的来看,广百股份的表现相当令人失望。公司的利润增长不足,因为留存的利润很少,而且留存的利润以非常低的回报率再投资。到目前为止,我们只对公司的增长数据进行了简要研究。因此,值得查看广百股份过去盈利、营业收入和现金流的免费详细图表,以更深入地了解公司的表现。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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