The Motic (Xiamen) Electric Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300341) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 63%, which is great even in a bull market.
Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 34x, you may still consider Motic (Xiamen) Electric GroupLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 61.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
For instance, Motic (Xiamen) Electric GroupLtd's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Motic (Xiamen) Electric GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 39% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it concerning that Motic (Xiamen) Electric GroupLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Motic (Xiamen) Electric GroupLtd's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Motic (Xiamen) Electric GroupLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Motic (Xiamen) Electric GroupLtd.
If you're unsure about the strength of Motic (Xiamen) Electric GroupLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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