The Hua Lien International (Holding) Company Limited (HKG:969) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 44%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 49% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may still consider Hua Lien International (Holding) as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How Has Hua Lien International (Holding) Performed Recently?
We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Hua Lien International (Holding)'s revenue has been unimpressive. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hua Lien International (Holding)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hua Lien International (Holding)?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hua Lien International (Holding)'s to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 13% overall rise in revenue. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 6.2% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hua Lien International (Holding)'s P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Hua Lien International (Holding)'s P/S?
There's still some elevation in Hua Lien International (Holding)'s P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Hua Lien International (Holding) revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hua Lien International (Holding) (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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