Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:600420) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:600420) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, long term Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600420) shareholders have enjoyed a 45% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 17% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 21% in the last year, including dividends.
当我们投资时,通常会寻找表现优于市场平均水平的股票。虽然积极的股票挑选涉及风险(并需要分散投资),但也可能带来超额回报。例如,长期持有国药现代(SHSE:600420)的股东在过去的半个世纪中享受了45%的股价上涨,远远超过了市场大约17%的回报率(不包括股息)。然而,最近的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,股票去年的回报仅为21%,包括股息。
While the stock has fallen 3.7% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
虽然本周股价下跌了3.7%,但值得关注更长期的情况,并看看股票的历史收益是否由基本面驱动。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
市场有时候是有效的,但价格并不总是反映公司的基本业务表现。通过比较每股收益和股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的看法如何随着时间变化而变化。
During five years of share price growth, Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 3.9% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 8% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在股价增长的五年期间,国药现代实现了每股收益(EPS)复合增长率达到每年3.9%。这一EPS增长速度低于同期8%的股价增长。因此,可以认为市场对该业务的评价高于五年前。考虑到增长记录,这并不奇怪。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。
We know that Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical will grow revenue in the future.
我们知道国药现代最近改善了其底线,但是它将增长营业收入吗?查看分析师是否认为国药现代将来会增长营业收入。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical, it has a TSR of 54% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报,投资者还应该考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一项回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何分红都被再投资了)以及任何折现后的增资和分拆的计算价值。因此对于支付慷慨分红的公司,TSR通常高于股价回报很多。就国药现代而言,在过去的5年里,其TSR为54%。这超过了我们先前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
We're pleased to report that Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 21% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 9% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical you should know about.
我们很高兴地报告说,国药现代股东在过去一年中获得了21%的总股东回报。这确实包括了分红。这要比过去半个世纪的年化回报率9%好,暗示这家公司最近表现更好。持乐观态度的人可能认为TSR最近的改善表明业务本身随着时间的推移变得更好。虽然考虑市场条件的不同影响对股价至关重要,但还有其他更重要的因素。考虑风险,例如。每家公司都有风险,在国药现代我们发现了1个警示标志,你应该了解。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。