Even Though Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd (SHSE:603619) Has Lost CN¥366m Market Cap in Last 7 Days, Shareholders Are Still up 80% Over 3 Years
Even Though Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd (SHSE:603619) Has Lost CN¥366m Market Cap in Last 7 Days, Shareholders Are Still up 80% Over 3 Years
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, the Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Corp.,Ltd. (SHSE:603619) share price is up 68% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 21% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 11% in the last year, including dividends.
通过购买指数基金,您可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但如果您以优惠价格购买好的企业,您的投资组合回报可能超过平均市场回报。例如,中油石油和天然气集团有限公司(SHSE:603619)股价在过去三年中上涨了68%,明显优于市场下跌约21%(不包括股息)。然而,最近的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,该股过去一年仅回报11%,包括股息。
Although Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd has shed CN¥366m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
尽管中油石油和天然气集团有限公司本周市值减少了人民币36600万,让我们来看看其更长期的基本趋势,看看它们是否推动了回报。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的文章《格雷厄姆和道德斯维尔的超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性反映公司价值的方式。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方式是查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd became profitable within the last three years. So we would expect a higher share price over the period.
中油石油和天然气集团有限公司在过去三年内实现盈利。因此,我们预计该期间股价会较高。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了EPS随时间的变化情况(如果您单击该图像,则可以查看更多详细信息)。
It is of course excellent to see how Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
看到中石油股天然气有限公司多年来盈利增长当然是非常好的,但对股东来说,未来更为重要。免费报告中介绍了其财务状况随时间变化的情况也值得一看。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd, it has a TSR of 80% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR包括任何拆股或折价增资的价值,以及任何分红,基于分红再投资的假设。可以说,TSR更全面地呈现了股票带来的回报。就中石油天然气股集团有限责任公司而言,其过去3年的TSR为80%。这超过了我们先前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
We're pleased to report that Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 11% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 11% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
我们很高兴地宣布中石油天然气股集团有限责任公司股东在过去一年内获得了总股东回报率为11%。当然,这包括了分红。这比过去半个世纪的年化回报率11%要好,这意味着公司最近表现更好。持乐观态度的人可能会将TSR的最近改善解读为企业本身随着时间推移而变得更好。尽管值得考虑市场条件对股价的影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。以风险为例 - 我们认为中石油天然气股集团有限责任公司有2个警示信号,您应该注意。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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