Earnings Growth of 7.5% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech (SHSE:688016) Shareholders
Earnings Growth of 7.5% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech (SHSE:688016) Shareholders
Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688016) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 22% in the last quarter. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. In fact, the share price is down 41% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.
上海微创医疗科技有限公司 (SHSE:688016) 的股东应该为在上个季度股票价格上涨 22% 而感到高兴。 但这无法掩盖过去三年回报不佳的事实。 实际上,股票价格在过去三年中下跌了 41%,远低于市场回报。
After losing 4.2% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在过去一周下跌了4.2%之后,值得调查公司的基本面,以了解我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用巴菲特的话顺便说一下,“船只将环游世界,但支持地球平面学会的人将大有可为。 在市场上,价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异...”通过比较EPS和股价变化,我们可以了解到投资者对公司的态度随时间的变化程度。
Although the share price is down over three years, Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech actually managed to grow EPS by 24% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
尽管股票价格在三年内下跌,但上海微创医疗在此期间实际上每年实现了 24% 的每股收益增长。 这相当令人困惑,暗示可能有某些因素暂时支撑着股票价格。 或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得查看其他指标。
Revenue is actually up 25% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.
营业收入在三年内实际上增长了25%,因此股价下跌似乎也不是由营业收入决定的。这项分析只是例行公事,但可能值得更深入研究上海微创医疗,因为有时候股票的下跌是不公平的。这可能会带来机会。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。
We know that Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? You can see what analysts are predicting for Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
我们知道上海微创医疗最近改善了其底线,但未来将会发生什么?您可以在这个关于未来利润预测的交互式图表中看到分析师对上海微创医疗的预测。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech the TSR over the last 3 years was -37%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR包括任何剥离或折价融资的价值,以及任何分红,假设分红被再投资。可以说,TSR提供了股票回报的更全面的图景。我们注意到,上海微创医疗在过去三年的TSR为-37%,这比上述提到的股价回报要好。公司支付的分红因此提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
While the broader market gained around 4.2% in the last year, Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech shareholders lost 20% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 5%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
尽管整体市场在过去一年上涨了约4.2%,但上海微创医疗血管介入科技的股东却损失了20%(即使包括分红派息)。 不过,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现不佳。 长期投资者可能不会太沮丧,因为他们五年间每年都获得了5%的收益。如果基本面数据继续表明长期可持续增长,当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。 虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响非常重要,但还有其他更重要的因素。 尽管如此,请注意,上海微创医疗血管介入科技在我们的投资分析中显示出3个警告信号,其中1个让我们有点不安...
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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