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Ping An Bank (SZSE:000001) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 26% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Ping An Bank (SZSE:000001) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 26% If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果投资者在三年前投资平安银行(深交所代码:000001),他们现在面临26%的亏损。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/28 09:19

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Ping An Bank Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000001) share price has gained 12% in the last three months. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. In fact, the share price is down 35% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

虽然这并不是一个惊人的举动,但看到平安银行股份有限公司(深交所代码:000001)的股价在过去三个月上涨了12%还是令人欣慰的。然而,这不能掩盖过去三年不尽人意的回报。事实上,股价在过去三年下跌了35%,远低于市场回报。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

市场有时毫无疑问是有效的,但股票价格并不总是反映基本业务表现。一种有缺陷但合理的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格,以评估围绕公司的情绪如何变化。

Although the share price is down over three years, Ping An Bank actually managed to grow EPS by 9.6% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在三年内下跌,但平安银行在此期间每股收益实际年均增长了9.6%。考虑到股价反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益是否可以很好地反映这一期间的业务表现(可能由于一次性的损失或盈利)。另外,过去的增长预期可能也不合理。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得关注其他指标,因为EPS增长似乎与股价下跌不符。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. Revenue has been pretty flat over three years, so that isn't an obvious reason shareholders would sell. So it might be worth looking at how revenue growth over time, in greater detail.

我们注意到分红似乎相当健康,因此这可能并不能解释股价下跌的原因。 过去三年的营业收入相对平稳,因此这并不是股东出售的明显理由。所以可能值得更详细地观察收入的增长情况。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下方图片中看到盈利和营业收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看准确数值)。

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SZSE:000001 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 28th 2024
深交所:000001 每股收益与营业收入增长 2024年11月28日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Ping An Bank

我们很高兴地报告,CEO的薪酬比大多数同类公司的CEO要低。但尽管CEO的薪酬总是值得关注,但真正重要的问题是公司未来是否能够增长每股收益。 这份免费的报告展示了分析师的预测,应该能帮助你对平安银行形成看法。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Ping An Bank's TSR for the last 3 years was -26%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报率 (TSR)。 TSR包括任何分拆或折价融资的价值,以及任何分红,基于假设这些分红被再投资。 可以公平地说,TSR对支付分红的股票提供了更完整的图景。 恰巧的是,平安银行过去三年的TSR为-26%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。这主要是因为其分红支付!

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

It's good to see that Ping An Bank has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 28% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 2% per year over the last half decade. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Ping An Bank is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

令人欣慰的是,平安银行在过去12个月里为股东带来了28%的总股东回报。当然,这其中包括了分红。同时,这个回报远高于过去五年每年约2%的损失。长期的损失使我们保持谨慎,但短期的TSR增长无疑暗示着更光明的未来。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响是值得的,但还有其他因素更为重要。尽管如此,请注意,平安银行在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,您应该了解...

Of course Ping An Bank may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,平安银行可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望查看这份免费的成长型股票集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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