Here's Why Clarivate (NYSE:CLVT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Here's Why Clarivate (NYSE:CLVT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Clarivate Plc (NYSE:CLVT) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非同义词。” 当我们思考一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它使用的债务,因为债务过载可能导致灭亡。 正如许多其他公司一样,Clarivate Plc(纽交所:CLVT)使用债务。 但这种债务是否会令股东担忧?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般来说,在公司难以轻松偿还债务(无论是通过募集资金还是通过自有现金流)时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的一个固有特征就是“创造性摧毁”过程,其中失败的企业被它们的银行家无情地清算。但一个更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以便宜的股价稀释股东权益,以控制债务。当然,债务的好处在于,它往往代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它用于代替以高投资回报率重新投资的公司时。考虑一家企业使用多少债务时,最初要做的事情是查看其现金和债务总额。
What Is Clarivate's Net Debt?
Clarivate的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Clarivate had debt of US$4.63b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$4.84b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$380.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$4.24b.
下面的图片显示,Clarivate在2024年9月底的债务为46.3亿美元,比一年前的48.4亿美元减少。 但由于它有38080万美元的现金储备,它的净债务较少,约为42.4亿美元。
How Healthy Is Clarivate's Balance Sheet?
Clarivate的资产负债表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Clarivate had liabilities of US$1.53b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$4.99b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$380.8m and US$771.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.36b.
深入研究最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到Clarivate在12个月内到期的负债为15.3亿美元,而12个月后到期的负债为49.9亿美元。另一方面,其现金为38080万美元,应收账款则有77180万美元,均为一年内到期。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收账款总和53.6亿美元。
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$3.96b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
考虑到这一不足超过公司39.6亿美元的市值,你可能会倾向于仔细审视资产负债表。假设公司被迫以当前股价筹集资本来偿还其负债,可能需要极大的稀释。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
为了衡量公司债务相对于其收入的规模,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税收、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),并计算其利息前税利润(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。这样,我们考虑了债务的绝对金额,以及支付的利率。
While we wouldn't worry about Clarivate's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.3, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.91 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Notably, Clarivate's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Clarivate's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
虽然我们不担心Clarivate的净债务与息税折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率为4.3,但我们认为其极低的利息覆盖率为0.91倍是高杠杆的迹象。似乎公司产生了大量的折旧和摊销费用,因此其债务负担可能比表面看起来更重,因为EBITDA可以说是盈利的一种宽泛衡量标准。因此股东可能应该意识到利息支出最近似乎真的影响了业务。值得注意的是,过去一年,Clarivate的EBIT增长非常平缓,考虑到债务负担,这并不理想。毫无疑问,我们对于债务最多是从资产负债表上获得信息。但未来收益,远比任何事情都将决定Clarivate保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你关注未来,您可以查看一份免费报告,显示分析师的利润预测。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Clarivate actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
最后,虽然税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。所以我们总是查看EBIt中有多少被转化为自由现金流。令股东欣喜的是,Clarivate实际上在过去三年内生产的自由现金流比EBIt还要多。这种强劲的现金生成方式让我们像穿着蜜蜂服的小狗一样感到温暖。
Our View
我们的观点
On the face of it, Clarivate's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Clarivate's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Clarivate that you should be aware of before investing here.
表面上看,Clarivate的总负债水平让我们对股票感到犹豫,而其利息支出覆盖率也不像一年中最繁忙的晚上只有一个空餐厅那么吸引人。但从好的一面来看,它将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力是一个好迹象,使我们更加乐观。一旦我们综合考虑以上所有因素,我们觉得Clarivate的债务使其有些风险。有些人喜欢这种风险,但我们考虑到潜在的风险,可能更希望它负债更少。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上学到了大部分关于债务的信息。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表之内——远非如此。例如,我们发现了Clarivate的1个警示迹象,在您投资之前应该注意这一点。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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