Shanghai Amarsoft Information & Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300380) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 155% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 7.1x, you may consider Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 8.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen firmly for Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 32% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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