Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002824)?
Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002824)?
It is hard to get excited after looking at Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's (SZSE:002824) recent performance, when its stock has declined 26% over the past week. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's ROE today.
在看到和胜股份(SZSE:002824)最近的表现后,很难感到兴奋,因为其股票在过去一周下跌了26%。然而,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务通常与未来市场价格走势一致。特别是,我们今天将关注和胜股份的roe。
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股东权益回报率(roe)是一种关键指标,用于评估公司管理层如何有效利用公司资本。更简单地说,它衡量了公司相对股东权益的盈利能力。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算净资产收益率?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
roe可以通过以下公式计算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium is:
因此,根据上述公式,和胜股份的roe为:
5.4% = CN¥93m ÷ CN¥1.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
5.4% = CN¥9300万 ÷ CN¥17亿(基于截至2024年9月的前十二个月)。
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.
“回报”是业务在过去一年内实现的收入。这意味着,对于每个CN¥1股东权益,公司的利润为CN¥0.05。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量了公司创造利润的效率。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长“保留”的利润量,然后我们就能了解公司的增长潜力。如果一切都相等,那么ROE和利润保留都更高的公司通常比没有这些特征的公司增长率更高。
Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's Earnings Growth And 5.4% ROE
和胜股份的盈利增长及5.4% roe
When you first look at it, Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 7.4%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Despite this, surprisingly, Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium saw an exceptional 23% net income growth over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.
初看之下,和胜股份的 roe 并不是那么吸引人。接着,与行业平均 roe 7.4%相比,公司的 roe 更让我们感到失望。尽管如此,令人惊讶的是,和胜股份在过去五年中实现了 23% 的净利润增长。我们认为这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,公司有较低的分红派息比率或者管理得当。
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 9.6% in the same period, which is great to see.
接下来,与行业的净利润增长相比,和胜股份的增长在同一时期内相较于行业平均增长 9.6% 来说,相当高,这让人欣喜。

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
对公司进行估值的依据在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者应尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降,无论是哪种情况,是否已经被市场定价。这将有助于他们判断该股票未来是光明还是黯淡。一个良好的预期盈利增长指标是市盈率,它决定了市场愿意为一只股票支付的价格,基于其盈利前景。因此,您可能想查看和胜股份是以高市盈率还是低市盈率在行业板块内交易。
Is Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
和胜股份是否有效地再投资其利润?
Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium has a three-year median payout ratio of 35% (where it is retaining 65% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. So it seems that Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.
和胜股份的三年中位派息比例为35%(其留存65%的净利润),这个比例既不算低,也不算高。所以看起来和胜股份正有效地再投资,显示出其盈利的显著增长(上述讨论过),并支付了一个合理覆盖的分红派息。
Besides, Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium has been paying dividends over a period of eight years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 38%. However, Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium's ROE is predicted to rise to 12% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.
此外,和胜股份已经连续八年支付分红派息。这表明该公司致力于与其股东分享利润。我们最新的分析师数据表明,该公司未来三年的派息比例预计将达到约38%。然而,和胜股份的roe预计将上升至12%,尽管其派息比例没有预期变化。
Conclusion
结论
Overall, we feel that Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
总的来说,我们认为和胜股份确实有一些积极的因素值得考虑。尽管回报率较低,该公司通过大量再投资其业务,实现了令人印象深刻的盈利增长。我们还研究了最新的分析师预测,发现公司的盈利增长预计将与其当前的增长率相似。欲了解更多关于该公司的最新分析师预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测可视化图。
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