The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial (SHSE:600452) Shareholders as Stock Falls 5.1% Over the Past Week
The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial (SHSE:600452) Shareholders as Stock Falls 5.1% Over the Past Week
Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600452) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 13% in the last month. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. In fact, the share price is 137% higher today. To some, the recent pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a fast rise. Ultimately business performance will determine whether the stock price continues the positive long term trend.
涪陵电力股票(600452.SH)的股东们可能会因为看到股价在上个月下跌了13%而感到担忧。但与此形成强烈对比的是,过去半个 decade,涪陵电力的回报令人印象深刻。事实上,股价今天比过去高出137%。对于一些人来说,在如此快速上涨之后出现最近的回调并不奇怪。最终业务表现将决定股价是否会延续积极的长期趋势。
While the stock has fallen 5.1% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
虽然本周股价下跌了5.1%,但值得关注的是长期而言,股票的历史回报是否受基本面驱动。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然一些人仍然相信有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。一个不完美但简单的方法来考虑公司市场看法的变化是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。
During five years of share price growth, Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial actually saw its EPS drop 2.2% per year.
在过去五年的股价增长中,涪陵电力的每股收益实际上每年下降2.2%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.
通过浏览这些数字,我们可以推断每股收益下降并不代表业务在这些年里的变化。因此,值得看看其他指标以了解股票价格的变动。
We doubt the modest 1.0% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 6.4% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我们怀疑1.0%的较低股息率吸引了很少的买家。相比之下,每年6.4%的营业收入增长可能被视为涪陵电力正在增长的证据,是一个真正的积极因素。在这种情况下,公司可能在牺牲当前每股收益来推动增长。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下方图片中看到盈利和营业收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看准确数值)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
资产负债表实力非常重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能非常值得。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial, it has a TSR of 150% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。TSR包括任何剥离或折价增资的价值,以及基于股息被再投资的假设。可以说TSR更全面地描绘了支付股息的股票的情况。就涪陵电力工业而言,过去5年的TSR为150%。超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,股息支付很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
It's good to see that Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 19% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 20% per year, is even more impressive. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
很高兴看到涪陵电力以去年的19%的总股东回报奖励股东。这已经包括了分红派息。然而,过去五年的TSR达到每年20%,更令人印象深刻。虽然值得考虑市场条件对股价的影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。尽管如此,请注意,在我们的投资分析中,涪陵电力正在显示一个警告信号,您应该了解...。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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